Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 2/14/2024

The Miami Heat (29-25) travel to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers (32-21) on Wednesday, February 14th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs 76ers

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat beat the Bucks in their most recent game, ending with a score of 123-97. Going into the second half the Heat held the lead at 69-52.

Coming into today’s matchup against the 76ers, the Heat are looking to stay above .500 with a 29-25 record. In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently 7th and are also leading the Southeast division.

So far, Miami’s ATS record is below .500 at 24-27. In their three most recent home games, Miami has covered the spread and they are 12-16 ATS at home compared to 12-11 on the road.

The 76ers Are Coming Off A Win

The 76ers won vs. the Cavaliers in their most recent game, ending with a score of 123-121. Prior to the game, the 76ers were the underdog at +11, earning both a straight-up and ATS victory. Before the game, the over/under line was 230.5 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

In today’s matchup vs. the Heat, the 76ers will try to add to their winning record of 32-21. In 53 games, the 76ers have gone 21-13 against Eastern Conference opponents and are 11-8 in non-conference games.

Philadelphia has an overall ATS record of 32-21 for the season so far. Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in five straight home games and are 16-11 ATS at home compared to 16-10 on the road.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 54 games games, Miami is averaging 110.6 points per game (27th).

This season, the Heat have been one of the slower-paced teams in the NBA, ranking 28th in pace at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of scoring, Miami is 27th in the league at 110.6 points per game.

When it comes to their three-point shooting, the Heat have been solid, hitting 37% of their attempts (10th). However, they are just 26th in field goal percentage overall at 46%.

On average, Miami has made 12.5 three-pointers per game (16th) and is 8th in free throw attempts at 22.9 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, the Heat are 25th in the league.

76ers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia 76ers

The Philadelphia offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 9th ranked offense at 118.6 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the 76ers are 9th in the NBA with an average of 118.6 points per game. At home, they are averaging 119.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Philadelphia is 16th in the league at 98.6 possessions per game.

One area where the 76ers excel is getting to the free-throw line. They lead the NBA in both free throws made and attempted per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Philadelphia is 15th in the league at 47%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the 76ers are 27th in the NBA in made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc. In terms of assists, Philadelphia is 27th in the league with an average of 24.8 per game.

Heat Team Defense

Not only do the Heat’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 4th in the league in points allowed. Miami has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 15th in the league over their last three games at 103.7 PPG allowed. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.5% and 36.8% from three-point territory.

76ers Team Defense

Coming into the game, the 76ers’ defense is giving up an average of 114.0 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 50.9% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the 76ers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.0% and allowing 34.9% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Heat And 76ers

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Tyler Herro will be the primary scorer for the Heat, with 20 points and going 7/17 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 20.9 points per game, along with 5.2 rebounds.

As for Philadelphia, Tyrese Maxey is projected to be the primary scorer for the 76ers. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 24, and adding 4 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 44.7% and is averaging 25.6 points per contest.

Heat vs 76ers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 1-3-1 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the 76ers have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Heat vs 76ers Prediction

The Heat come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 223.5, and our model predicts the Heat and 76ers to score a combined 172 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.