Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 3/18/2024

The Miami Heat (37-30) travel to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers (37-30) on Monday, March 18th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs 76ers

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat’s most recent game versus the Pistons saw Duncan Robinson lead the Heat with 30 points while shooting 10/15 from the field. Bam Adebayo also contributed 20 points as the Heat won by a score of 104-101 vs. the Pistons.

Heading into their matchup with the 76ers, the Heat are 37-30 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Heat are 7th and are 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 31-33 so far this season. During this season, Miami has a 16-19 record against the spread as favorites and 15-14 as underdogs.

The 76ers Are Coming Off A Win

Tyrese Maxey led Philadelphia with 30 points against the Hornets, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 44.4% in the game. As the 76ers secured the victory with a final score of 109-98, Kelly Oubre Jr. also chipped in with 22 points.

In their last five games, the 76ers are 2-3 and have a 37-30 overall record. As of now, they are 8th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic division.

Philadelphia has an overall ATS record of 36-30 for the season so far. The 76ers have two straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 26-17 vs. the spread as the favorite.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 27th ranked scoring offense at 110 points per game.

On offense, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring at 110 points per game. They have been better at home, averaging 112.7 points compared to 107.6 on the road. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 22nd in field goal percentage at 46%. They have been slightly below average in terms of three-point shooting, hitting 37% of their attempts (11th).

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 37.3% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, the Heat are 27th in the league at 52%.

76ers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia has recorded an average of 115.1 points per game (14th) throughout 67 games games.

At home, the Sixers are averaging 116.2 points per game, which is 14th in the league. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 115.1 points per game. In terms of pace, Philadelphia is 22nd in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Sixers are 23rd in three-point percentage at 35%. So far this season, they are making an average of 11.6 three-pointers per game, which is 27th in the league.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Sixers are 3rd in free-throw attempts at 24.7 per game. They are also the top team in the NBA in made free throws at 20.5 per game.

Heat Team Defense

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 109.4 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.2% of their three-point attempts.

76ers Team Defense

Coming into the game, the 76ers defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 47.8% of their games. Currently, they are 12th in the NBA at 112.6 points per game allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the 76ers are forcing 11.2 per game, which is 1st in the league. They also come into the game sitting 9th in blocked shots at 5.7 per game.

Key Players For The Heat And 76ers

In today’s game, our projections have Terry Rozier leading the Heat with 20 points on 7/16 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 19.9 points per game, in addition to 4.2 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Tyrese Maxey to be the top scorer for the 76ers. Our projection has him finishing the game with 25, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 44.9%, and his scoring average is 26 points per game.

Heat vs 76ers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Philadelphia has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 98 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
  • Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the 76ers have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.

Heat vs 76ers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2.5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 210 and our model has the Heat and 76ers finishing with a combined 213 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.