Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 4/17/2024

The Miami Heat (46-36) travel to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers (47-35) on Wednesday, April 17th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs 76ers

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat notched a win against the Raptors in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 118-103. The Heat entered the game as -16.5-point favorites, but their 15 point victory fell short of covering the spread. Before the game, the over/under line was 218.5 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

Currently, the Heat are 8th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Southeast division. In their last three games, they are 2-1 and have an overall record of 46-36.

Against the spread, Miami have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 40-39 ATS. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 24-14, as opposed to a 16-25 record against the spread when playing at home.

The 76ers Are Coming Off A Win

The 76ers clinched a 107-86 win over the Nets in their previous game. 76ers’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -12.5-point favorites. Concerning the over/under, the total of 193 points remained below the established over/under line of 214.

Coming into today’s game against the Heat, the 76ers are looking to stay above .500. Their overall record is currently 47-35. In Eastern Conference matchups, the 76ers are 31-21 compared to 16-14 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, the 76ers have covered in 10 straight games and have an overall ATS record of 49-32. The 76ers currently have a three game ATS win streak as the underdog and are 34-17 vs. the spread as the favorite.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In 82 games games, Miami has an average of 110.1 points per game (26th).

Miami comes into the game as one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league, at 110.1 points per game. On the road, they are even worse, at 108.1 points per contest. Looking at their pace, the Heat are 29th in the league, averaging 95.8 possessions per game.

Over their last five games, the Heat have gotten some good shooting from Tyler Herro, as he has hit 46.6% of his shots from the field and averaged 21.8 points per game. Jimmy Butler has hit 55.6% of his shots in his last five games and averaged 18.6 points per game. For the season, Herro and Butler are both averaging 20.8 points per game.

76ers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia 76ers

This season, the Philadelphia offense is ranked 15th in the NBA in scoring at 114.6 points per game.

Joel Embiid is averaging 33 points per game over his last three games, hitting 53.4% of his shots from the field in that stretch. In these games, he also averaged 3.3 made threes, 12 rebounds, and 5.3 assists. For the season, he is averaging 1.4 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 38.8%. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 28.2 points per game in his last four games, hitting 47.7% of his shots from the field in that stretch. He also averaged 2.8 made threes per game in these games and 3 for the season.

Philadelphia comes into the game as the 15th-ranked scoring offense, at 114.6 points per game. Their home scoring average of 115.5 points per contest is 14th in the league. The 76ers are also 19th in both three-point shooting percentage and attempts. Their team three-point shooting percentage is 36%.

Heat Team Defense

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 3rd ranked defense in the NBA at 3rd PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 79.3% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.4 per game.

76ers Team Defense

The 76ers’ defense is presently ranked 9th in the league, allowing an average of 111.5 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, 76ers are causing 11.3 turnovers per game, ranking 1st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 6th in rejections, averaging 6 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Heat And 76ers

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Jimmy Butler as the primary point contributor for the Heat, finishing with 21 points while maintaining a 7/13 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 20.8 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Joel Embiid is our projected leading scorer for the 76ers. We have him ending the game with a team-high 34 and grabbing 11 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 52.9%, and his scoring average is 34.7 points per game.

Heat vs 76ers Trends

  • Miami has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 110. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • In their last ten games at home, the 76ers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • The last five games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the 76ers have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Heat vs 76ers Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +5.5, we recommend going with the Heat on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 207.5 and given that our model is projecting 219 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.