Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 2/26/2024

The Miami Heat (31-25) travel to face off against the Sacramento Kings (33-23) on Monday, February 26th. This game will be played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Heat vs Kings

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat won vs. the Pelicans in their most recent game, ending with a score of 106-95. Prior to the game, the Heat were the underdog at +2.5, earning both a straight-up and ATS victory. Concerning the over/under, the total of 201 points remained below the established over/under line of 220.5.

Coming into today’s game, the Heat are 31-25 overall and have won three straight games. In non-conference play, they are 9-9 while going 22-16 against Eastern Conference teams.

The Heat have covered the spread successfully in their previous six games and maintain an overall ATS record of 26-27. This season, Miami has a 14-15 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 12-12 when playing as underdogs.

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings beat the Clippers in their most recent game, ending with a score of 123-107. At the beginning of the second half, the Kings were leading 58-51.

Coming into today’s game against the Heat, the Kings are looking to stay above .500. So far, they are 33-23 and are 5th in the Western Conference. In the Pacific division, they are in 2nd place.

Sacramento arrives with an ATS record of 29-27 for the season up to this point. Sacramento has gone 19-20 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 10-7 when playing as underdogs.

Heat Offense Breakdown

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game.

On the season, the Heat are averaging 110.5 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.4 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, Miami is shooting 46% from the field, which is 24th in the NBA.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 33.9% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the league at 52%. From beyond the arc, they are 9th in three-point shooting at 37%.

When it comes to free throws, the Heat are 9th in the NBA in both free throws made (18.7) and free throw attempts (22.8) per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 21st in the league at 25.8 per game.

Kings Offense Breakdown

sacramento kings

The Kings step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 118.6 points per game (7th).

At home, the Kings are averaging 122 points per game, which is 7th best in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.6 points per game.

Sacramento is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.8 made threes per game (4th). In terms of field goal percentage, the Kings are 11th at 48%.

When it comes to pace, the Kings are 9th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 6th with an average of 28.7 per game.

Heat Team Defense

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 4th in the league at 110.1 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.4% and 36.4% from three-point territory.

Kings Team Defense

Currently, the Kings’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the NBA, allowing 117.8 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Kings are causing 12.7 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 28th in rejections, averaging 3.9 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Heat And Kings

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Terry Rozier is set to be the main scorer for the Heat, recording 19 points and shooting 7/16 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 20.6 points per game, along with 4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate De’Aaron Fox to be the top scorer for the Kings. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 47% and is averaging 26.9 points per contest.

Heat vs Kings Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 4-4-2. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 104 points per game.
  • Across their five previous home games, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
  • Although the Kings have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Heat vs Kings Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Kings vs. Heat game, we suggest taking the Heat at +7.5. Even though our predictions have the Kings winning 120-117, we see the Heat as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Kings to score a combined 237 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.