Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction 2/21/2025

The Miami Heat (25-28) travel to face off against the Toronto Raptors (17-38) on Friday, February 21st. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on FDSS. Both the Heat and Raptors will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Raptors

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat fell to 25-28 on the season after a 118-113 road loss to the Mavericks on Thursday. Miami, favored by 3 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 231 points exceeded the O/U line of 217.5 by 13.5 points.

Miami went on a 10-0 run to break a 65-65 tie, but Dallas responded, outscoring the Heat 34-30 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.

The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Raptors fell to 17-38 on the season after a 131-108 home loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Toronto entered the game as +13 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 23 points. The total score of 239 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 236.5.

A 13-0 run by the Cavaliers early in the game set the tone, as they jumped out to a 41-17 lead after the 1st quarter. While the Raptors played more competitively in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, they couldn’t overcome the early deficit, trailing 100-78 going into the 4th.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro’s 40-point performance wasn’t enough for the Heat in their 118-113 loss to the Mavericks, as he shot 50% from the field and hit 3 threes at a 21.4% clip. Miami struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 27.8% of their attempts, making 10 threes overall, while shooting 47.3% from the field.

Herro scored 17 points in the 2nd quarter and added 14 more in the 3rd. Kel’el Ware contributed 9 of his 17 points in the 2nd quarter, and Kyle Anderson finished with 15 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 points in the 4th quarter.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

toronto raptors

RJ Barrett led the Raptors with 27 points and 4 assists in their loss to the Cavaliers, shooting 61.1% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. Scottie Barnes contributed 16 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists, while Immanuel Quickley and Ochai Agbaji each added 15 points, with Quickley hitting 2 threes at 33.3%.

The Raptors made 10 threes, shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc and 46.2% overall. Barrett scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Quickley and Agbaji both had 8 points in the 3rd.

Heat Team Defense

The Heat started strong defensively, giving up just 21 points in the 1st quarter, but struggled in the 2nd and 4th, allowing 34 points in each. Overall, they gave up 118 points on 51% shooting from the Mavericks.

From beyond the arc, Miami allowed Dallas to hit 13 threes at a 36% clip. The Heat sent the Mavericks to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. Defensively, Miami recorded 9 steals and 4 blocks.

Raptors Team Defense

The Heat’s defense started strong in the 1st quarter, giving up just 21 points, but they struggled in the 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing 34 points in each. Overall, Miami gave up 118 points on 51% shooting from the field in their loss to the Mavericks.

From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed 13 threes on 36% shooting. Dallas also went to the line 16 times, making 13 free throws. Miami finished with 26 defensive rebounds, while the Mavericks grabbed 11 offensive boards. The Heat added 9 steals and 4 blocks.

Heat vs Raptors Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 0-2-1 while averaging 100 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Although Toronto has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 109 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Raptors have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.

Heat vs Raptors Prediction

Our bet is on the Heat for a win, and we project the score to be 138-115. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Heat with the spread at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 221.5, and our model projects the Heat and Raptors to reach a combined total of 253 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.