Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards NBA betting prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction 2/2/2024

The Miami Heat (25-23) travel to face off against the Washington Wizards (9-38) on Friday, February 2nd. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on MNMT. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Wizards are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kings. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Wizards

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Heat took down the Kings by a score of 115-106. Heat’s victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -2.5-point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 221 points was below the over/under line of 228.

As the Heat get ready to face the Wizards, they have an overall record of 25-23. At home, the Heat are 13-11 compared to their 12-12 record on the road.

Miami has an overall ATS record of 20-26 as they come into today’s game. In their last four games as underdogs, the Heat have faced ATS losses, and they have a 12-15 record against the spread as favorites.

The Wizards Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Wizards fell to the Clippers by a score of 125-109. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Wizards couldn’t cover as +9.5 point underdogs. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 234 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 235.5.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Heat, the Wizards are 9-38 on the season. At home, they are 3-19 while going 6-19 on the road.

Washington has an overall ATS record of 22-25 as they come into today’s game. Washington has covered the spread in five straight road games and are 16-9 ATS on the road compared to 6-16 at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 48 games the Heat are averaging 110.5 points per contest, placing them 27th in the NBA.

When it comes to scoring, the Heat have struggled on the road this season, averaging 107.2 points per game (29th). Overall, Miami is 27th in the NBA at 110.5 points per game.

In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 33.3% of their games.

From three-point range, Miami is 5th in the NBA at 37%. However, they are just 27th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of two-point shooting, the Heat are 28th in the league.

Wizards Offense Breakdown

washington wizards

In 47 games games, Washington has an average of 115 points per game (16th).

The Washington Wizards are the fastest-paced team in the NBA this season, averaging 102.3 possessions per game. They are also 16th in scoring at 115 points per game. At home, they are averaging 115.3 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Wizards are 15th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 12th in two-point shooting at 55%. However, they are just 26th in three-point shooting at 35%.

So far this season, the Wizards have outscored the NBA scoring average in 53.2% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 9th in the league with an average of 27.9 per game.

Heat Team Defense

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 111.6 points per game. Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 106 points to the Kings.

Wizards Team Defense

The Wizards’ defense is presently ranked 30th in the league, allowing an average of 124.0 points per contest. The Washington defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Washington.

Key Players For The Heat And Wizards

In today’s game, we anticipate Jimmy Butler leading the scoring for the Heat, contributing 21 points while shooting 7/14 from the field. This season, he is averaging 21.4 points per game along with 5.2 boards.

As for Washington, Kyle Kuzma is projected to be the primary scorer for the Wizards. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 20, and adding 6 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 45.7%, and he is contributing 22 points per game on average.

Heat vs Wizards Trends

  • Across the Heat last three road games, the team averaged 97 points per game while allowing 117. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Although Washington has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.

Heat vs Wizards Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +8, we have the Wizards as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229.5 and given that our model is projecting 229 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.