Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 4/28/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (47-35) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on TNT. The Pacers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Bucks vs Pacers

milwaukee bucks nba

Indiana pulled off an upset in the most recent game of this Pacers vs. Bucks series, winning by a score of 121-118. The Pacers got off to a hot start, outscoring the Bucks 39-22 in the first quarter. Going into the game, the Pacers were favored by 6.5 points and didn’t cover the spread. The over/under line of 223 points was surpassed by 16 points.

Myles Turner led the Pacers with 29 points and also knocked down four threes. Tyrese Haliburton was just shy of a triple-double, finishing with 18 points, 16 assists, and 10 rebounds. Khris Middleton had a big game for the Bucks with 42 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. However, the Bucks made just 10 threes as a team and shot 32.3% from three-point range.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

Looking at the Bucks offense, they are averaging 119 points per game this season, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Their scoring average on the road is 116.7 points per contest, which is the 5th best figure. Milwaukee has been an above-average scoring team in terms of league average in 62.2% of their games this season, which is one of the better marks in the league.

The Bucks have been getting some good scoring production of late from Khris Middleton, who has hit 53.7% of his shots from the field in his last five games, leading to an average of 23 points per game. In this stretch, he also averaged 7 rebounds and 5.2 assists. Brook Lopez has hit 43.5% of his threes in his last five games and averaged 2 made threes per game. Over this stretch, he averaged 15.2 points per game. Damian Lillard is doubtful with an Achilles injury, but over his last four games, he averaged 28.2 points per game.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

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Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 125.4 points per contest. Overall, they have outscored the league scoring average in 74.4% of their games. The Pacers have been able to get to the rim with regularity this season, as they are first in two-point field goal percentage and two-point field goals made.

Pascal Siakam has been playing well of late, averaging 27.4 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 43.8% of his threes. Myles Turner has also been shooting the ball well of late, averaging 23.2 points per game on 53.1% shooting. The Celtics will be without Bennedict Mathurin, who averaged 14.5 points per game and 37.4% shooting from beyond the arc.

Bucks Team Defense

On the season, the Milwaukee Bucks are giving up 116.2 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. Their defense has been slightly better at home, where they are 19th in the league at 114.6 points per game allowed.

In terms of three-point shooting, the Bucks are 12th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed at 35.3%. On the season, opponents have made 12.6 threes per game vs. Milwaukee, which is 12th in the league.

Over their last five games, the Bucks have been better defending the three-point line, allowing just 31.5% shooting from beyond the arc. During this stretch, opponents have made 15.4 free-throws per game vs. Milwaukee.

Pacers Team Defense

On the season, the Pacers are giving up 119.9 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. When playing at home, Indiana is allowing 118.7 points per game, which is 28th in the league.

Indiana has allowed opponents to score more than their season average in 70.7% of their games this season. They have also done a good job of defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5% from beyond the arc, which is 1st in the NBA.

Over their last five games, the Pacers have given up 115.8 points per game, which is 23rd in the league during that stretch.

Key Players For The Bucks And Pacers

For today’s matchup, we project Giannis Antetokounmpo to lead the scoring for the Bucks, putting up 31 points and shooting at a rate of 12/19. During this season, he is delivering an average of 30.4 points per game, along with 11.5 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Pascal Siakam as the leading scorer for the Pacers. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 21 while also collecting 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.7 points per game.

Bucks vs Pacers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Pacers offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Indiana posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
  • Although the Pacers have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Pacers vs. Bucks matchup, our bet is to grab the Bucks at +10. Even though our projections have the Pacers winning 111-109, we see the Bucks as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 216.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Pacers to reach a combined total of 220 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.