bucks vs heat nba prediction

NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Prediction 11/28/2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (12-5) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (10-7) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Kaseya Center and televised on TNT. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Trail Blazers. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Bucks vs Heat

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks took down the Trail Blazers in their most recent game with a final score of 108-102. The Bucks were favored by -13 heading into the game, but their 6 point victory failed to cover the spread. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 210 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 232.

Over the Bucks’ last five games, they are 4-1 and come in with an overall record of 12-5. The team currently sits 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 1st place in the Central division.

Milwaukee’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 6-11 for the season. Milwaukee has covered the spread in four consecutive road games, while maintaining an ATS record of 4-4 on the road as opposed to 2-7 at home.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Nets with a final score of 112-97. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Heat couldn’t cover as +7.5 point underdogs. In terms of the over/under, the combined 209 points was below the over/under line of 217.

Looking at the Heat’s previous ten games, they are 5-5 and face the Bucks with an overall mark of 10-7. The team is currently 5th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 8-8 so far this season. During this season, Miami has a 4-5 record against the spread as favorites and 4-3 as underdogs.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

The Bucks come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 120.4 points per game (4th). When looking at the Bucks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.8. A key aspect of the team’s offensive success is their ability to pair an up-tempo style of play with efficient outside shooting. So far, they are the 8th ranked team in 3-point shooting percentage.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 24th ranked scoring offense at 109.8 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.6 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 6th in fewest turnovers per game.

Bucks Team Defense

Facing Miami, the Bucks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 117.5 points allowed per game (22nd).

In the terms of takeaways, Bucks are causing 13.2 turnovers per game, ranking 13th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 10th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.

Heat Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 107.8 points per contest.

In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.6 turnovers per game, ranking 6th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 29th in rejections, averaging 3.3 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Bucks And Heat

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the primary scorer for the Bucks, with 21 points and going 8/12 from the field. This season, he is averaging 29.9 points per game along with 10.6 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Bam Adebayo as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 17 while also collecting 7 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 53.5%, and his scoring average is 22.7 points per game.

Bucks vs Heat Trends

  • The Bucks are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 1-2 against the spread.

Bucks vs Heat Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3, we have the Heat as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225, and our model predicts the Bucks and Heat to score a combined 224 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.