New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/21/2024

The New York Knicks (41-27) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (48-21) on Thursday, March 21st. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Knicks vs Nuggets

new york knicks nba

The Knicks Are Coming Off A Win

Jalen Brunson led New York with 34 points against the Warriors, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 48.4% in the game. Miles McBride also contributed 29 points as the Knicks won by a score of 119-112 vs. the Warriors.

Coming into today’s matchup against the Nuggets, the Knicks are above .500 with a 41-27 record. As of now, they are 4th in the Eastern Conference and are 2nd in the Atlantic division.

New York has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 37-30 against the spread. The Knicks are in the midst of a three game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they come in with a 23-14 record against the spread as favorites.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets notched a win against the Timberwolves in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 115-112. Going into the game, the Nuggets were favored by -7.5 and their 3 point win was not enough to cover the spread. The over/under line entering this matchup was 215.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

With an overall record of 48-21, the Nuggets have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, they are 2nd overall and are also 2nd in the Northwest division.

So far, Denver is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 31-36. In their last two road games, Denver has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 15-20 on the road as opposed to 16-16 at home.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

New York has recorded an average of 112 points per game (22nd) throughout 68 games games.

The Knicks are one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the league, averaging 12.9 per game. However, they are 29th in assists at 23.8 per game.

So far this season, the Knicks are 25th in two-point field goal percentage at 46%. They are also last in the league in pace at 94.9 possessions per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Knicks are 22nd in the league at 112 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 113.7 points per game compared to 110.5 at home.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Through 69 games games, Denver is averaging 114.7 points per game (14th).

At home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 118.9 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.7 points per game. Denver’s field goal percentage is 4th in the league at 49%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 29th in attempts and 28th in made threes. However, they are 10th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league.

When compared to the NBA scoring average, Denver has outscored it in 49.3% of their games. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in attempts and makes. They are 15th in offensive rebounds and 4th in assists.

Knicks Team Defense

At this time, the Knicks’ defense is positioned 2nd in the NBA, permitting 107.9 points per game. For the season, New York is ranked 26th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.8 free-throws per game vs. the Knicks and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.8%.

Nuggets Team Defense

This season, the Nuggets’ defense is the 7th ranked defense in the NBA at 7th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 71.0% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.5% and allowing 35.7% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Knicks And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Jalen Brunson is set to be the main scorer for the Knicks, recording 27 points and shooting 10/20 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 27.6 points per game, along with 3.7 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Nikola Jokic to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 12 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 58.2%, and he is contributing 26 points per game on average.

Knicks vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • The Knicks have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
  • Against the spread, the Nuggets have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Knicks matchup, our bet is to grab the Knicks at +9.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 111-109, we see the Knicks as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 209 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.