New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 5/10/2024

The New York Knicks (50-32) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (47-35) on Friday, May 10th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on ESPN. The Knicks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pacers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pacers. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Knicks vs Pacers

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The Knicks picked up a 130-121 win over the Pacers in the most recent game of this series. New York was favored by 4.5 points at home and covered the spread. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 218.5 points, and the teams combined to score 251 points, surpassing the over/under line by 32.5 points.

New York had a big third quarter, outscoring the Pacers 36-18. Jalen Brunson had 29 points for the Knicks, and OG Anunoby added 28. Tyrese Haliburton led all scorers with 34 points and hit seven threes for the Pacers. New York shot the ball well from deep, knocking down 46.7% of their threes on 14 makes.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

Jalen Brunson has been carrying the Knicks offense of late, averaging 40 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 51.8% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 7.8 assists per contest. For the season, Brunson is averaging 2.7 made threes per game on a shooting percentage of 40.1%.

OG Anunoby has been playing well of late, averaging 18.6 points and 8.4 rebounds in his last five games. In these games, he hit 39.3% of his threes and averaged 2.2 made threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 2 threes per game on a shooting percentage of 38.2%.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

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Indiana comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better at home, with an average of 125.3 points per contest. The Pacers are also the league leaders in field goal percentage, connecting on 50% of their shots this season.

Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 19.4 points per game over his last five games while hitting 47.9% of his shots and 41.7% of his threes. In that stretch, he also averaged 7.4 assists and 4.4 rebounds. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds this season.

Knicks Team Defense

On the season, the Knicks have been one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in points allowed per game at 108.4. They have been especially good at home, allowing just 105.9 points per game, which is 3rd best in the NBA.

Over their last five games, New York has given up 111.4 points per game, which is 15th in the league during that stretch. During that span, opponents have shot 45.8% from the field and 38.2% from three-point range.

On the season, the Knicks have done a good job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, ranking 5th in made free-throws allowed per game at 20.0.

Pacers Team Defense

When it comes to points allowed per game, the Pacers have struggled this season, ranking 27th in the league at 119.7 points per game. This is a trend that has carried over to their home games, where they are giving up 118.1 points per contest, which is 26th in the NBA.

Despite their struggles in terms of points allowed, Indiana has done a great job defending the three-point line. On the season, they are giving up just 10.8 made threes per game, which is the best mark in the league. Opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 85.4% of games vs. the Pacers.

One area where the Pacers have struggled defensively is getting to the free-throw line. On the season, they are 30th in the NBA in free throws made allowed per game at 25.6.

Key Players For The Knicks And Pacers

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Jalen Brunson will be the primary scorer for the Knicks, with 30 points and going 11/22 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 28.7 points per game, in addition to 3.6 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Pascal Siakam to be the top scorer for the Pacers. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.7 points per game.

Knicks vs Pacers Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, New York has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Knicks have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.

Knicks vs Pacers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Knicks vs. Pacers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Knicks at +7. Although our projections show the Pacers winning 114-111, we suggest placing your bet on the Knicks for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 222.5 and given that our model is projecting 225 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.