The New York Knicks (39-20) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (28-30) on Sunday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.
Knicks vs Heat
The Knicks Are Coming Off A Win
The Knicks improved to 39-20 this season with a narrow 114-113 win over the Grizzlies on Friday. New York, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total of 227 points fell short of the 245-point O/U line.
New York trailed 88-82 going into the 4th quarter but turned things around by outscoring Memphis 32-25 in the final period. The Knicks took control in the 2nd quarter, winning it 31-27, but Memphis responded by taking the 3rd quarter 29-26 before New York’s strong finish.
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
Miami improved to 28-30 on the season with a 125-120 win over the Pacers on Friday. The Heat were +3 point underdogs heading into the game but covered the spread with the win. The total score of 245 points exceeded the O/U line of 223.5 by 21.5 points.
Miami’s 11-0 run was a turning point, as they went from trailing 67-58 to leading 69-67. They outscored Indiana 39-34 in the 2nd quarter and 29-23 in the 3rd. The teams were tied 28-28 in the 4th, but Miami held on after entering the final quarter with a 97-92 lead.
Knicks Offense Breakdown
Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 23 points and 7 rebounds in their win over the Grizzlies, shooting 43.5% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 33.3%. OG Anunoby added 19 points, knocking down 4 threes at 40%, while Miles McBride contributed 17 points, connecting on 3 threes at 60% shooting. Overall, the Knicks made 13 threes, shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc, and finished with a field goal percentage of 46.3%.
Brunson scored 7 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Anunoby added 6 points in each of those periods. McBride also chipped in 5 points in the 4th quarter, matching his output from the 1st and 2nd quarters. Mikal Bridges scored 7 of his 15 points in the 2nd quarter, and Josh Hart contributed 8 of his 12 points in the opening period.
Heat Offense Breakdown
The Heat’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their win over the Pacers, shooting 57.1% from the field and hitting 17 threes at a 53.1% clip. Tyler Herro led the way with 29 points, while Duncan Robinson added 20, knocking down 4 threes at 66.7% shooting.
Herro scored 10 points in the 1st quarter, while Robinson added 10 in the 4th. Alec Burks also contributed late, scoring 8 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter and adding 5 more in the 4th.
Knicks Team Defense
Defensively, the Knicks tightened up in the 4th quarter, giving up just 25 points to help secure the win. They allowed 32 points in the 1st quarter but improved in the 2nd and 3rd, giving up 27 and 29 points, respectively.
New York excelled at defending the three, holding the Grizzlies to just 4 made threes on 12% shooting. They also recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks in the game.
Heat Team Defense
The Knicks tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 25 points to secure a 114-113 win over the Grizzlies. Overall, New York gave up 113 points, with Memphis shooting 46% from the field.
New York excelled at defending the three, holding the Grizzlies to just 4 made threes on 12% shooting. The Knicks also recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks in the game.
Knicks vs Heat Trends
- Although New York has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Knicks have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Knicks vs Heat Prediction
For a pick on the point-spread in this Knicks vs. Heat matchup, our bet is to grab the Heat at +5.5. Even though our projections have the Knicks winning 133-131, we see the Heat as the play on the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 222.5 and given that our model is projecting 264 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 2, 2025 Heat, Knicks