Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 11/1/2024

The Denver Nuggets (2-2) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2) on Friday, November 1st. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on ESPN. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets evened their record at 2-2 with a 144-139 win over the Nets on Tuesday. Denver, who entered the game as -5.5 point favorites, got the win but didn’t cover the spread. The combined score of 283 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 218, going over by 65 points.

Denver’s comeback started after a rough 1st quarter, where they trailed 40-27. They chipped away at the lead, outscoring Brooklyn 36-32 in the 2nd quarter and 33-27 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th quarter down 99-96, the Nuggets closed out the game by winning the final period 29-26.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves fell to 2-2 on the season after a 120-114 home loss to the Mavericks on Tuesday. Minnesota, who were -4 point favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 234, surpassing the O/U line of 220 by 14 points.

After a strong 1st quarter, where they led 34-26, the Timberwolves went on a 10-0 run to take a 70-61 lead. However, they struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, being outscored 67-48. Despite outscoring Dallas 32-27 in the 4th, they couldn’t overcome the 93-82 deficit they faced going into the final quarter.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

The Nuggets put up 144 points in their win over the Nets, shooting 51.7% from the field and hitting 13 threes at a 48.1% clip. Nikola Jokic led the way with 29 points, 18 rebounds, and 16 assists, shooting 56.2% from the floor.

Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray each added 24 points, with Gordon shooting 72.7%. Murray struggled from deep, hitting just 28.6% of his threes, while Jokic and Gordon each scored 4 points in overtime.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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The Nuggets put up 144 points in their win over the Nets, shooting 51.7% from the field and hitting 13 threes at a 48.1% clip. Nikola Jokic led the way with 29 points, 18 rebounds, and 16 assists, shooting 56.2% from the floor.

Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray each added 24 points, with Gordon shooting 72.7%. Murray struggled from deep, hitting just 28.6% of his threes, while contributing 2 made threes overall.

Nuggets Team Defense

Despite a rough start defensively, giving up 40 points in the 1st quarter, the Nuggets tightened up as the game went on, allowing just 27 points in the 3rd and 26 in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, they gave up 139 points on 51% shooting from the field.

Denver also struggled to defend the three, with the Nets hitting 20 threes at a 38% clip. The Nuggets sent Brooklyn to the line 27 times, where they made 21 free throws. On the glass, Denver allowed 7 offensive rebounds while recording 3 steals and 4 blocks.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Despite a rough start defensively, giving up 40 points in the 1st quarter, the Nuggets tightened up as the game went on, allowing 32 points in the 2nd, 27 in the 3rd, and 26 in the 4th. Overall, they gave up 139 points on 51% shooting from the field.

Denver struggled to defend the three, allowing the Nets to hit 20 threes at a 38% clip. Brooklyn also went 21/27 from the free-throw line. The Nuggets finished with 34 defensive rebounds, giving up 7 offensive boards, while recording 3 steals and 4 blocks.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 4-1 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 114 points per game in these games.
  • The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Nuggets have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction

In this Nuggets vs. Timberwolves matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Nuggets at +4. While we project the Timberwolves to win 131-129, our recommendation is to bet on the Nuggets for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 219.5 and given that our model is projecting 260 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.