Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/19/2024

The Denver Nuggets (47-21) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-21) on Tuesday, March 19th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on NBA. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jazz. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves

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The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Nuggets lost to the Mavericks with a final score of 107-105. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Nuggets also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -1.5 point favorites. As for the over/under, the combined score of 212 points didn’t reach the over/under line of 231.5.

With a 47-21 record, the Nuggets are above .500 as they prepare to take on the Timberwolves. In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 3rd place and are also in 3rd place in the Northwest division.

Denver’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 31-35 for the season. The Nuggets have a two game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they hold a 26-30 record against the spread when they are the favorites.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves won vs. the Jazz in their most recent game, ending with a score of 114-104. Despite being behind at halftime 59-53, the Timberwolves picked up the win.

With a 47-21 record, the Timberwolves are looking to extend their three game win streak in today’s game. In non-conference matchups, the Timberwolves are 14-10 and have gone 33-11 against Western Conference teams.

Minnesota has an overall ATS record of 34-33 as they come into today’s game. Minnesota has covered the spread in three consecutive road games, while maintaining an ATS record of 20-16 on the road as opposed to 14-17 at home.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

This season, the Denver offense is ranked 15th in the NBA in scoring at 114.7 points per game.

The Nuggets are one of the NBA’s top teams in terms of field goal percentage, ranking 4th at 49%. However, they are just 28th in three-point attempts and makes, hitting 37% from beyond the arc. Denver is also one of the league’s best passing teams, ranking 3rd with 29.2 assists per game.

On the season, the Nuggets are averaging 114.7 points per game, which is 15th in the NBA. When playing on the road, their scoring average dips to 110.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Nuggets are 9th in the league at 56%. They are also 15th in offensive rebounds, grabbing 10.7 per game. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota has recorded an average of 113.3 points per game (19th) throughout 68 games games.

At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 111.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 113.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 23rd at 97.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves are 10th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also 8th in true shooting percentage. From three-point range, Minnesota is 4th in the league at 38%.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league at 26.4 per game.

Nuggets Team Defense

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th in the league at 110.2 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.7 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 10th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

In the current season, the Timberwolves defense has excelled, sitting 1st in the NBA by allowing 106.6 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 13.5 per game, which is 21st in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Timberwolves

In today’s game, we anticipate Nikola Jokic leading the scoring for the Nuggets, contributing 26 points while shooting 10/17 from the field. This season, he is averaging 25.9 points per game along with 12.2 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Anthony Edwards to be the top scorer for the Timberwolves. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and his scoring average is 26.6 points per game.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Denver has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 107 points per game while allowing 100. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across their last three home contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 117 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves come in as the underdog at +7, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 212.5, and our model projects the Nuggets and Timberwolves to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.