Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 1/31/2024

The Denver Nuggets (33-15) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (32-15) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on BSO. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Thunder

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets won vs. the Bucks in their most recent game, ending with a score of 113-107. The first half ended in a tie, but the Nuggets won the second half, outscoring the Bucks 57-51.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Thunder, the Nuggets have a record above .500 at 33-15. They are currently 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest division.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 20-26 as they come into today’s game. Denver has gone 18-23 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 2-3 when playing as underdogs.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Oklahoma City’s most recently played the Timberwolves and lost with a final score of 107-101. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Thunder also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -2.5 point favorites. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 208 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 224.

In their last five games, the Thunder are 3-2 and have an overall record of 32-15. When playing against teams from the Western Conference, the Thunder are 20-11 and are 12-4 in non-conference games.

Oklahoma City possesses an ATS record of 31-16 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. Oklahoma City has gone 20-11 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 11-5 when playing as underdogs.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

In 48 games games, Denver has an average of 115 points per game (17th).

Coming into tonight’s game, the Nuggets are averaging 115 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. On the road, they are scoring 110.6 points per game.

Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games this season. They are currently 4th in field goal percentage at 49% and are 6th in two-point shooting at 56%.

This season, the Nuggets are 4th in assists at 28.8 per game. However, they are 27th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 3rd ranked offense at 120.8 points per game.

At home, the Thunder are averaging 122.9 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in the league with 120.8 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the NBA.

Oklahoma City is one of the top shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%. They are also 3rd in three-point shooting at 38%.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.1% of their games. In terms of scoring, they are 12th in free throw attempts and 10th in assists.

Nuggets Team Defense

On average, the Denver defense is giving up 110.9 points per game (4th). Right now, they are on a 3 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.1% and 35.9% from three-point territory.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 112.9 points per contest. Most recently, the Thunder’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 107 points to the Timberwolves.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Thunder

For today’s matchup, we project Nikola Jokic to lead the scoring for the Nuggets, putting up 25 points and shooting at a rate of 10/17. Throughout this season, his average stands at 26.3 points per game, along with 12.1 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 29, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 54.7%, and he is contributing 31.3 points per game on average.

Nuggets vs Thunder Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 0-2-1 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Oklahoma City has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 105. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • The last three games that Denver was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Oklahoma City has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

The Nuggets come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 233 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.