Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/9/2025

The Denver Nuggets (41-22) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11) on Sunday, March 9th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Thunder

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Denver improved to 41-22 with a 149-141 win over the Suns on Friday. The Nuggets were at home and were favored by 9 points, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points of 290 were well over the O/U line of 242.5.

Denver built a lead by winning the 1st (37-28) and 2nd (31-28) quarters. They led 102-91 going into the 4th but were outscored 34-23 in the final period.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

On Friday, the Thunder improved to 52-11 with a 107-89 win over the Trail Blazers. Playing at home, Oklahoma City was favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 196 points fell well short of the 228-point over/under line.

A 12-0 run early in the game helped the Thunder take control, and they extended their lead with a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring Portland 34-21. After the Blazers cut into the lead in the 3rd quarter, Oklahoma City’s defense stepped up in the 4th, holding Portland to 16 points while scoring 27 to seal the win.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

The Nuggets poured in 149 points in their win over the Suns, shooting 58.8% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 52.5% clip. Nikola Jokić led the way with 31 points, 22 assists, and 21 rebounds, while Aaron Gordon added 27 points, knocking down 7 threes at 70% efficiency.

Christian Braun contributed 25 points, hitting 4 threes at 80%. He also scored 9 points in overtime, while Jamal Murray added 6 of his 19 points in the extra period.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Aaron Wiggins led the Thunder to a win over the Trail Blazers on Friday, scoring 30 points and grabbing 5 rebounds while shooting 50% from the field. Alex Caruso added 17 points, hitting 75% of his shots, and Ousmane Dieng contributed 16 points, connecting on 4 threes at a 66.7% rate.

Oklahoma City shot 46.4% from the field and made 14 threes at a 36.8% clip. Wiggins scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter, while Caruso added 10 in the 4th. Isaiah Joe also had a big 2nd quarter, scoring 11 of his 16 points.

Nuggets Team Defense

Despite giving up 141 points, the Nuggets managed to secure a win against the Suns. Denver allowed 28 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, but their defense struggled in the 3rd and 4th, where they gave up 35 and 34 points, respectively.

The Nuggets allowed Phoenix to shoot 56% from the field, including 42% from three-point range, with the Suns hitting 16 threes. Denver sent Phoenix to the line 29 times, where they made 23 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 30 defensive rebounds, gave up 7 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks.

Thunder Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets struggled against the Suns, giving up 141 points on 56% shooting. Denver allowed 28 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, but their defense faltered in the 3rd and 4th, where they gave up 35 and 34 points, respectively.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets allowed Phoenix to hit 16 threes at a 42% clip. Denver also sent the Suns to the line 29 times, where they made 23 free throws. The Nuggets recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Nuggets vs Thunder Trends

  • Denver has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 119 points per game while allowing 114. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Across their last three home contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 133 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Thunder to secure the win, with an expected final score of 139-123. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -8.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 240, and our model projects the Nuggets and Thunder to reach a combined total of 262 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.