Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction 3/23/2024

The Denver Nuggets (49-21) travel to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers (19-51) on Saturday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Moda Center in Portland and televised on ROOT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Trail Blazers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Knicks. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Nuggets bested the Knicks with a score of 113-100. The Nuggets were leading the game going into the second half 61-56.

As we get started today, the Nuggets have an overall record of 49-21 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. At home this season, the Nuggets are 28-6 compared to a 21-15 record on the road.

So far, Denver is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 32-36. Denver has struggled to cover the spread in their last two road games and has an ATS record of 15-20 on the road, while it is 17-16 at home.

The Trail Blazers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Trail Blazers were defeated by the Clippers in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 125-117. Despite being behind at halftime 70-53, the Trail Blazers picked up the win.

As the Trail Blazers look to take on the Nuggets, they have a sub-.500 record of 19-51. On the road this season, the Trail Blazers are 8-25, while going 11-26 at home.

Portland currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 33-36 at this point. This season, Portland has a 1-5 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 32-31 as underdogs.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Denver has recorded an average of 114.7 points per game (14th) throughout 70 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.7 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. However, on the road, they are scoring 110.8 points per game compared to 118.8 at home.

Denver is one of the most efficient teams in the league when it comes to two-point shooting, as they are making 56% of their attempts. Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field, which is 4th in the NBA.

Despite being 3rd in assists, the Nuggets are 29th in free throw attempts and 28th in three-point attempts. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league.

Trail Blazers Offense Breakdown

portland trail blazers

Portland has recorded an average of 107.8 points per game (28th) throughout 70 games games.

When it comes to offensive production, the Blazers are 28th in the NBA with 107.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 108.6 points compared to 106.8 on the road. Overall, they have scored below the NBA average in 72.9% of their games.

Portland’s offense has been reliant on their three-point shooting, as they are 24th in the league with 11.7 made threes per game. In terms of pace, they are 18th at 97.6 possessions per game.

One area where the Blazers have struggled is their field goal percentage, as they are 29th in the NBA at 44%. This is also reflected in their true shooting percentage, where they are last in the league.

Nuggets Team Defense

At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 110.1 points per game. Opponents are hitting 52.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.7% of their three-point attempts.

Trail Blazers Team Defense

So far, the Trail Blazers’ defense is ranked 17th in the league at 115.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Trail Blazers defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 58.0% while allowing 35.3% from downtown.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Trail Blazers

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Nikola Jokic is set to be the main scorer for the Nuggets, recording 26 points and shooting 10/18 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 26.1 points per game, along with 12.3 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Anfernee Simons to be the top scorer for the Trail Blazers. Our projection has him finishing the game with 23, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 43% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 22.6 points per game.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 112 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers game, our recommendation is to take the Trail Blazers at +14. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 110-104, we like Trail Blazers as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 210.5, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Trail Blazers to score a combined 214 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.