Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons NBA Betting Prediction

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 1/28/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (32-13) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (5-40) on Sunday, January 28th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on BSDE. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pelicans. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Thunder vs Pistons

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 for Oklahoma City against the Pelicans which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 47.7%. Chet Holmgren also added 20 points as the Thunder won the game by a score of 107-83.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Pistons, the Thunder have a record of 32-13 and are above .500. When playing at home, the Thunder are 17-5 compared to their road record of 15-8.

The Thunder have covered the spread successfully in their previous two games and maintain an overall ATS record of 31-14. The Thunder maintain an ATS record of 15-8 on the road, while they have a 16-6 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Pistons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pistons were defeated by the Wizards in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 118-104. In addition, to losing the game straight-up, the Pistons lost vs. the spread as -3.5 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 222 points fell short of the set over/under line of 241.

Even though they are heavy underdogs (+13.5), the Pistons are looking to pull off a win against the Thunder. Currently, the Pistons are 15th in the Eastern Conference and 5th in the Central division. With an overall record of 5-40, the Pistons are focused on getting a victory.

So far, Detroit’s ATS record is below .500 at 20-24. The Pistons maintain an ATS record of 10-11 on the road, while they have a 10-13 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Oklahoma City is averaging 121.6 points per contest. This figure places them 3rd in the league.

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. They are currently 2nd in field goal percentage and 3rd in both two-point shooting and three-point shooting. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 121.6 points per game.

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 29th in the NBA with 8.5 per game.

When playing on the road, Oklahoma City is averaging 119.3 points per game. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 17th in both attempts and makes. So far, they have outscored the NBA average in 71.1% of their games.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

In 45 games games, Detroit has an average of 112.3 points per game (24th).

When it comes to scoring, the Pistons are 24th in the NBA at 112.3 points per game. At home, they are averaging 111.5 points per game.

In terms of pace, Detroit is 7th in the league with 100.6 possessions per game. They are also 7th in two-point field goal attempts, but just 29th in three-point attempts.

Overall, the Pistons are shooting 47% from the field, which is 18th in the NBA. From three-point range, they are 27th at 35%.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Thunder defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 44.4% of their games. Currently, they are 13th in the NBA at 112.9 points per game allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.3% and allowing 36.0% from beyond the arc.

Pistons Team Defense

On defense, the Pistons come into the game ranked 27th in the league in points allowed at 122.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 115.3 points per contest (8th). Opponents are hitting 55.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.2% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Thunder And Pistons

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the primary scorer for the Thunder, with 28 points and going 10/18 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 31.1 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Cade Cunningham as the leading scorer for the Pistons. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 21 while also collecting 4 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 44.8% and is averaging 22.8 points per contest.

Thunder vs Pistons Trends

  • In their last three road games, Oklahoma City has averaged 116 points per game while allowing 98. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Detroit has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 120. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a strong record vs the spread going 3-0. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Thunder vs Pistons Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Thunder vs. Pistons game, our recommendation is to take the Pistons at +13.5. Despite our model showing the Thunder winning 117-110, we like Pistons as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 239.5 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.