thunder vs heat nba betting prediction

NBA Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/10/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (24-11) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (21-15) on Wednesday, January 10th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Thunder vs Heat

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 32 points against the Wizards, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 59.1% in the game. The Thunder picked up a 136-128 win, and Chet Holmgren also added 31 points which was 2nd on the team.

As they take on the Heat, the Thunder are looking to stay above .500. So far, they are 24-11 overall. In their 35 games, the Thunder have gone 14-8 against Western Conference opponents and 10-3 in non-conference play.

Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 24-11 so far this season which includes their current three game losing streak vs. the spread. On the road, the Thunder have an ATS record of 10-6, as opposed to a 14-5 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Rockets, Tyler Herro was the top scorer for the Heat’s offense, scoring 28 points and shooting 10/20 from the field. As the Heat secured the victory with a final score of 120-113, Bam Adebayo also chipped in with 22 points.

Over their last ten games, the Heat have gone 6-4 and come into today’s game vs. the Thunder with an overall record of 21-15. In non-conference play, the Heat are 6-5 while going 15-10 vs. other Eastern Conference teams.

Miami currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 17-18 at this point. This season, Miami has a 9-10 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 8-8 as underdogs.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Thunder come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 122.2 points per game (4th).

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the top teams in the NBA, averaging 122.2 points per game (4th). This season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 77.1% of their games.

On the road, Oklahoma City is averaging 119.5 points per game, which is 4th in the league. So far, they have made 50% of their field goal attempts (2nd).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 1st in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. Overall, they are making 13.2 three-pointers per game (11th).

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In 36 games games, Miami has an average of 112.7 points per game (23rd).

At home, the Miami Heat are averaging 116.9 points per game, which is 12th in the league. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 112.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the NBA at 96.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 3rd in the league at 38%. They are making an average of 12.8 threes per game, which is 14th in the NBA. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 19th at 46%.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.7% of their games. In terms of assists, Miami is 15th in the league with an average of 26.2 per game.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 15th in the league in points allowed at 114.6 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 131 points per contest (29th). Oklahoma City’s defense is currently forcing 11.7 turnovers per game, which is 4th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 1st in blocked shots, with an average of 6.5 rejections per game.

Heat Team Defense

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 111.6 points per game. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.

Key Players For The Thunder And Heat

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set to be the main scorer for the Thunder, recording 29 points and shooting 10/19 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 31.5 points per game, in addition to 6 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Tyler Herro as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 20 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 44.2% and is averaging 22.7 points per contest.

Thunder vs Heat Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 129 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 106 points per game.
  • The last three games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Thunder have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Thunder vs Heat Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Thunder vs. Heat game, we suggest taking the Heat at +4.5. Even though our predictions have the Thunder winning 117-113, we see the Heat as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 234.5 and given that our model is projecting 230 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.