New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/5/2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (12-38) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (31-19) on Wednesday, February 5th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pelicans are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pelicans. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Pelicans vs Nuggets

new orleans pelicans nba

The Pelicans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pelicans dropped to 12-38 on the season after a 125-113 road loss to the Nuggets on Monday. New Orleans entered the game as +9.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 238, just under the O/U line of 242.

Denver took control early with a 12-0 run, stretching the score from 12-9 to 21-12. New Orleans fell behind 68-50 by halftime but fought back in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Nuggets 35-25. However, they couldn’t complete the comeback, as Denver edged them 32-28 in the 4th.

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Denver improved to 31-19 on the season with a 125-113 win over the Pelicans on Monday. Playing at home, the Nuggets were favored by 9.5 points and covered the spread. The total score of 238 points fell just short of the O/U line of 242.

A key moment in the game was Denver’s 12-0 run, which turned a 12-9 deficit into a 21-12 lead. They built on this by outscoring New Orleans 33-23 in the 1st quarter and 35-27 in the 2nd. Although the Pelicans fought back in the 3rd, winning the quarter 35-25, the Nuggets held them off in the 4th, outscoring them 32-28.

Pelicans Offense Breakdown

Trey Murphy III’s 41-point performance, including 8 threes at 66.7%, highlighted the Pelicans’ loss to the Nuggets. Murphy scored 24 points in the 3rd quarter, and the Pelicans hit 18 threes at 47.4% overall.

CJ McCollum added 30 points, with 17 coming in the 4th quarter. Zion Williamson contributed 14 points, 7 of which came in the final period.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Michael Porter Jr. knocked down 7 threes at a 58.3% clip, finishing with 36 points and 7 rebounds in the Nuggets’ win over the Pelicans. Nikola Jokić added 27 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists, shooting 69.2% from the field, while Jamal Murray contributed 20 points and 8 assists.

Porter scored 11 points in the 1st quarter and added 10 more in the 4th. Jokić also had 11 points in the opening period and put up 12 in the 3rd. Julian Strawther chipped in 9 of his 15 points in the final quarter.

Pelicans Team Defense

The Pelicans struggled defensively against the Nuggets, giving up 125 points on 50% shooting. Denver scored 33 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 2nd, though New Orleans tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 25 points. The Nuggets added 32 points in the 4th to seal the win.

From beyond the arc, the Pelicans allowed 12 threes on 36% shooting. Denver also went to the line 26 times, making 21 free throws. New Orleans gave up 14 offensive rebounds while recording 5 steals and 4 blocks.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Pelicans struggled defensively against the Nuggets, giving up 125 points on 50% shooting from the field. New Orleans allowed 33 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 2nd, though they tightened up in the 3rd, holding Denver to 25 points. The Nuggets scored 32 points in the 4th to seal the win.

From beyond the arc, the Pelicans allowed Denver to hit 12 threes at a 36% clip. The Nuggets also went to the free-throw line 26 times, making 21. New Orleans gave up 14 offensive rebounds while recording 5 steals and 4 blocks.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Trends

  • Although New Orleans has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 110 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • The last three games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-1-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Nuggets struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.

Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +10.5, we recommend going with the Pelicans on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 238.5, and our model predicts the Pelicans and Nuggets to score a combined 228 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.