pacers vs heat nba prediction
PublishedNovember 30, 2023,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:November 30, 2023 , ,

NBA: Pacers vs Heat Prediction 11/30/2023

The Indiana Pacers (9-7) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (10-8) on Thursday, November 30th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Kaseya Center and televised on NBA. Both the Pacers and Heat will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Pacers vs Heat

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pacers will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Trail Blazers with a final score of 114-110. Despite being behind at halftime 65-60, the Pacers picked up the win.

The Pacers will face the Heat bringing in an overall record of 9-7 and a 1-2 record over their previous three games. Throughout their 16 games, the Pacers have posted a 7-6 record against Eastern Conference opponents, while going 2-1 in non-conference matchups.

In terms of the spread, Indiana currently holds an ATS record of 9-7, which is above .500. When playing on the road, the Pacers hold an ATS record of 3-2 in contrast to a 6-5 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the game against the Bucks, Bam Adebayo was the top scorer for Miami, recording 31 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 51.1%. While Kyle Lowry was 2nd on the team with 21 points, Miami fell short in the game with a final score of 131-124.

As they prepare to face off against the Pacers, the Heat are 10-8 overall and are looking to snap a three game losing streak. On the road, the Heat have gone 6-6 so far this season compared to their 4-2 mark at home.

Miami currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 8-9 at this point. The Heat have two straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 4-5 vs. the spread as the favorite.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Pacers are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 127.6 points per game (1st). The Pacers come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 15.2 made 3’s per game. A key to the teams offensive success is their ability to avoid turning the ball over. So far, Indiana is ranked 8th in fewest turnovers per game.

Heat Offense Breakdown

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 24th in the NBA in scoring at 110.6 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.7 made 3’s per game. One area of the team’s offense that has been effective is their ability to get to the free-throw line. So far, they are ranked 12th, with an average of 18.2 made free-throws per game.

Pacers Team Defensemiami heat

For the season, Indiana is sitting 29th in terms of points allowed per game (124.8). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games.

Inside the arc, the Pacers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.1% and 39.0% from three-point territory.

Heat Team Defense

At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7th, allowing 109.1 points per game.

In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.5% while allowing 38.1% from downtown.

Key Players For The Pacers And Heat

In today’s game, our projections have Tyrese Haliburton leading the Pacers with 18 points on 6/12 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 25.9 points per game, in addition to 3.7 rebounds.

On the other side, Bam Adebayo is our projected leading scorer for the Heat. We have him ending the game with a team-high 18 and grabbing 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 52.9% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 23.3 points per game.

Pacers vs Heat Trends

  • Across the Pacers last ten road games, the team averaged 123 points per game while allowing 131. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past three home matchupindiana pacerss, Miami has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Pacers have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Indiana posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 4-5-1 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Heat vs. Heat game, we suggest taking the Pacers at +2. Even though our predictions have the Heat winning 116-115, we see the Pacers as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 239 and our model has the Pacers and Heat finishing with a combined 231 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.