Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/17/2025

The Indiana Pacers (37-29) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-29) on Monday, March 17th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on FDSI. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pacers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pacers. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Pacers vs Timberwolves

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Pacers fell to 37-29 on the season after a 126-119 road loss to the Bucks on Saturday. Indiana entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 245 points exceeded the over/under line of 235.5 by 9.5 points.

Milwaukee went on a 14-0 run early, stretching the score from 36-30 to 50-30. Indiana responded by winning the 2nd quarter 30-27, but the Bucks took control again in the 3rd, outscoring the Pacers 35-22. Indiana made a push in the 4th, winning the quarter 37-26, but couldn’t overcome the 100-82 deficit they faced heading into the final period.

The Timberwolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Timberwolves improved to 40-29 this season with a dominant 128-102 win over the Jazz on Sunday. Minnesota, playing at home, entered the game as -13.5 point favorites and covered the spread with a +26 point victory. The total score of 230 points narrowly missed the O/U line of 231.5.

Minnesota set the tone early, jumping out to a 34-20 lead after the 1st quarter. Utah responded with a 12-0 run, but the Timberwolves regained control by outscoring the Jazz 37-25 in the 3rd quarter. Heading into the 4th with a 99-76 lead, Minnesota closed out the game by outscoring Utah 29-26 in the final period.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Aaron Nesmith’s 30-point performance, featuring 6 threes at an 85.7% clip, led the Pacers in their 126-119 loss to the Bucks. Pascal Siakam added 26 points, with 17 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Tyrese Haliburton contributed 24 points and 15 assists.

The Pacers hit 17 threes, shooting 39.5% from deep and 47.9% overall. Nesmith scored 13 points in the 4th quarter, and Myles Turner added 9 of his 14 points in the opening period.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves to a 128-102 win over the Jazz, scoring 41 points with 5 threes, shooting 59.3% from the field. He dropped 21 points in the 1st quarter and added 16 more in the 3rd.

Jaden McDaniels contributed 20 points and 12 rebounds, hitting 66.7% of his threes. The Timberwolves made 14 threes at 32.6% efficiency, shooting 49.5% overall from the field.

Pacers Team Defense

Defensively, the Pacers struggled against the Bucks, giving up 126 points on 54% shooting. They allowed 38 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, but tightened up in the 2nd and 4th, allowing 27 and 26 points, respectively.

From beyond the arc, Indiana gave up 15 threes on 40% shooting. The Bucks also went to the line 26 times, making 25 free throws. The Pacers finished with 22 defensive rebounds, 9 steals, and 4 blocks.

Timberwolves Team Defense

The Pacers struggled defensively against the Bucks, giving up 126 points on 54% shooting. Milwaukee scored 38 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, but Indiana tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 26 points.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks hit 15 threes at a 40% clip. Indiana also sent Milwaukee to the line 26 times, where they converted 25 free throws. The Pacers finished with 9 steals and 4 blocks.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Indiana has an ATS mark of 1-9. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • The Timberwolves are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • The last three games that Indiana was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Timberwolves to secure the win, with an expected final score of 122-111. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -7.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229 and given that our model is projecting 233 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.