Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/24/2024

The Phoenix Suns (25-18) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (24-19) on Wednesday, January 24th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ABC. The Suns are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bulls. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Suns vs Mavericks

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Are Coming Off A Win

The Suns clinched a 115-113 win over the Bulls in their previous game. Turning the tide, the Suns picked up the win, overcoming a halftime deficit of 66-49.

Heading into today’s game, the Suns are 25-18 overall and are riding a six-game winning streak. At home, the Suns are 14-11 while going 11-7 on the road this season.

Phoenix’s ATS record sits below .500 (15-27). On the road, the Suns have an ATS record of 8-10 compared to a 7-17 record vs. the spread at home.

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas’ most recently played the Celtics and lost with a final score of 119-110. the Mavericks not only lost the game outright but also fell short of covering the spread as +2.5 point underdogs. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 229 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 240.5.

Looking to stay above .500, the Mavericks (24-19) face the Suns today. When playing on the road, the Mavericks are 11-9 this season compared to 13-10 at home.

Dallas is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 23-20. In their last two games as favorites, the Mavericks have not been able to cover the spread, and they are 8-10 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Suns Offense Breakdown

In 43 games games, Phoenix has an average of 116.1 points per game (13th).

So far this season, the Suns have been a good offensive team, ranking 13th in scoring at 116.1 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home (116.9 PPG) compared to on the road (115.0 PPG).

When it comes to pace, the Suns are 25th in the league at 97.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 9th at 48%. They have been especially efficient inside the arc, making 55% of their two-point attempts (11th).

One area where the Suns have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 4th in free-throw attempts at 25.4 per game and have made the 2nd most free throws in the NBA (20.9 per game).

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Heading into play, the Mavericks’ offense is rated 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 118.3 points per contest.

This season, the Mavericks have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, averaging 15.1 made three-pointers per game (2nd). Overall, they are 8th in the league in scoring at 118.3 points per game.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.2 points per game (10th). So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.8% of their games.

When it comes to pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 17th in the NBA at 47%. However, they are 12th in true shooting percentage.

Suns Team Defense

So far, the Suns’ defense is ranked 15th in the league at 114.2 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Suns defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.4% and 37.2% from three-point territory.

Mavericks Team Defense

On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 20th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 65.1% of their games. For the season, Dallas is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.6 free-throws per game vs. the Mavericks and have an overall field goal percentage of 48.2%.

Key Players For The Suns And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Kevin Durant will be the primary scorer for the Suns, with 28 points and going 10/18 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 29.6 points per game, in addition to 6.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 31 and grabbing 8 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 48.2% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 33.6 points per game.

Suns vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 115 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Dallas has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • As the betting favorite, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Suns to win, and have the projected score sitting at 117-114. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Suns at -1.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 241 and our model has the Suns and Mavericks finishing with a combined 231 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.