Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/5/2024

The Phoenix Suns (35-26) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (42-19) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Lakers. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Suns vs Nuggets

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Suns will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Thunder with a final score of 118-110. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Suns couldn’t cover the spread as +4.5 point underdogs. Concerning the over/under, the total of 228 points remained below the established over/under line of 232.5.

Coming into their matchup with the Nuggets, the Suns are 35-26 overall and are looking to snap a two game losing streak. When playing at home, the Suns are 20-13 compared to their 15-13 road record.

This season, Phoenix holds an ATS record of 24-36, which also includes their three game losing streak against the spread. The Suns maintain an ATS record of 12-16 on the road, while they have a 12-20 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets took down the Lakers in their most recent game with a final score of 124-114. Turning the tide, the Nuggets picked up the win, overcoming a halftime deficit of 66-58.

As we head into today’s game, the Nuggets will be focused on adding to their current six game win streak. Overall, the Nuggets are 42-19. When playing on the road, the Nuggets are 18-14 compared to a 24-5 record at home.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 27-32 for the season so far. On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 13-18 compared to a 14-14 record vs. the spread at home.

Suns Offense Breakdown

Through 61 games games, Phoenix is averaging 117.1 points per game (13th).

When it comes to scoring, the Suns are 13th in the NBA at 117.1 points per game. Interestingly, they are averaging the same number of points at home as they are on the road. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.5% of their games.

Phoenix is one of the top shooting teams in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage. However, they are just 22nd in three-pointers made per game. Overall, the Suns are 15th in assists and 20th in offensive rebounds.

One area where the Suns excel is getting to the free-throw line. They are 2nd in the league in free throws made per game and 4th in free throw attempts. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the NBA.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

This season, the Denver offense is ranked 16th in the NBA in scoring at 114.5 points per game.

When playing at home, the Nuggets have been a top-10 scoring team, averaging 118.5 points per game (9th). Overall, they are 16th in the NBA in scoring at 114.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the league at 49%.

In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 29th in the NBA at 96.1 possessions per game. When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 14th in the league at 36% from beyond the arc. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both free throw attempts and makes.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.5% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, Denver is 10th in the league at 56%. When it comes to assists, the Nuggets are 4th in the NBA at 29.1 per game.

Suns Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Suns’ defense is giving up an average of 114.4 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.1% while allowing 36.3% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

Denver’s defense has been playing well, ranking 7th in the NBA with 110.3 points allowed per game. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.9 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 11th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.5 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Suns And Nuggets

For today’s matchup, we project Kevin Durant to lead the scoring for the Suns, putting up 28 points and shooting at a rate of 10/19. During this season, he is delivering an average of 27.8 points per game, along with 6.7 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Nikola Jokic to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 58.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Suns vs Nuggets Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Phoenix has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 121 points per game.
  • Denver has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 115. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Phoenix was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Suns vs Nuggets Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +9, the Suns is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 224 and our model has the Suns and Nuggets finishing with a combined 226 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.