Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/12/2025

The Phoenix Suns (30-35) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (40-25) on Wednesday, March 12th. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on SCHN. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Suns. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Suns vs Rockets

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Suns fell to 30-35 on the season after a 120-118 road loss to the Grizzlies on Monday. Phoenix, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread with the narrow defeat. The combined score of 238 points fell short of the 244.5-point total line.

After taking a 34-26 lead in the 1st quarter, the Suns allowed the Grizzlies to outscore them 31-25 in the 2nd and 38-31 in the 3rd. Phoenix entered the 4th quarter trailing 95-90 and won the final period 28-25, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Rockets improved to 40-25 on the season with a 97-84 win over the Magic on Monday. Playing at home, Houston entered the game as -3.5 point favorites and covered the spread. The total score of 181 points fell well short of the 210.5 over/under line.

A key moment in the game came when the Rockets went on a 13-0 run, turning a 19-13 deficit into a 26-19 lead. Houston outscored Orlando 24-16 in the 3rd quarter, and the teams played evenly in the 4th, each scoring 22 points.

Suns Offense Breakdown

In their 120-118 loss to the Grizzlies, the Suns hit 20 threes, shooting 52.6% from deep. Kevin Durant led the way with 7 made threes, hitting 77.8% from beyond the arc and finishing with 35 points.

Durant scored 14 points in the 1st quarter, while Devin Booker added 12 points in the 4th. Booker finished with 26 points, and Tyus Jones contributed 12, hitting 4 threes at 80% efficiency.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

In their win over the Magic, the Rockets managed just 39.3% shooting from the field, but their three-point shooting was a bright spot. They hit 16 threes at a 37.2% clip, with Jabari Smith Jr. leading the way, knocking down 5 threes at 50% efficiency.

Smith finished with a team-high 20 points, scoring 7 in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Dillon Brooks added 17 points, and Jalen Green contributed 15, with both players hitting 3 threes despite shooting 33.3% from the field.

Suns Team Defense

Defensively, the Suns had a strong 4th quarter, giving up just 25 points, but their 3rd quarter struggles, where they allowed 38 points, contributed to their 120-118 loss to the Grizzlies. Overall, Phoenix allowed Memphis to shoot 46% from the field.

The Suns gave up 17 three-pointers on 37% shooting from beyond the arc. They also sent the Grizzlies to the free-throw line 27 times, where Memphis hit 23. Phoenix finished with 31 defensive rebounds, allowing 11 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 2 blocks.

Rockets Team Defense

Defensively, the Suns struggled in the 3rd quarter, giving up 38 points, which contributed to their 120-118 loss to the Grizzlies. They allowed Memphis to shoot 46% from the field overall. Phoenix did tighten up in the 4th, allowing just 25 points.

The Suns had trouble defending the three, as the Grizzlies hit 17 threes at a 37% clip. Phoenix also sent Memphis to the line 27 times, with the Grizzlies converting 23 free throws. The Suns finished with 31 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 2 blocks.

Suns vs Rockets Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Phoenix has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 128 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, Houston has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 116. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • The Rockets have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Suns vs Rockets Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +4.5, we have the Suns as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 229 and our model has the Suns and Rockets finishing with a combined 252 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.