Phoenix suns vs Miami heat nba Betting prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/29/2024

The Phoenix Suns (26-20) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (24-22) on Monday, January 29th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on NBA. Both the Suns and Heat will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Suns vs Heat

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Suns will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Magic with a final score of 113-98. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Suns also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -1.5 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 211 points fell short of the set over/under line of 227.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Heat, the Suns are looking to stay above .500. Overall, they are 26-20 and have gone 12-9 on the road compared to 14-11 at home.

Phoenix’s ATS record sits below .500 (16-29). The Suns have been unable to cover the spread in their last two games as favorites, and they hold a 5-7 record against the spread when playing as underdogs.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Knicks, Jimmy Butler was the top scorer for the Heat’s offense, scoring 28 points and shooting 11/20 from the field. Duncan Robinson finished 2nd on the team with 19 points, but Miami ended the game with a 125-109 loss.

Coming into today’s game against the Suns, the Heat are 24-22 overall and are looking to stay above .500. In Eastern Conference matchups, the Heat are 18-15 compared to 6-7 in non-conference games.

Miami has an ATS record of 19-25 for this season, which includes their current six game losing streak against the spread. The Heat have suffered four consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 11-14 against the spread when they are the favorites.

Suns Offense Breakdown

This season, the Phoenix offense is ranked 13th in the NBA in scoring at 116.4 points per game.

So far this season, the Suns have been a strong offensive team, ranking 13th in the league in scoring at 116.4 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better at home, averaging 116.9 points compared to 115.8 on the road.

When it comes to pace, Phoenix is 23rd in the league at 97.9 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 6th in the league at 49%. So far, they have been efficient inside the arc, making 55% of their two-point attempts (7th).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Suns are 11th in the league in percentage at 37%. However, they are just 22nd in made threes at 11.8 per game. In terms of free throws, Phoenix is 3rd in the league in made free throws at 20.5 per game.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game.

So far this season, the Heat have struggled to score, ranking just 27th in the league with 110.5 points per game. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 114.0 points per game.

From beyond the arc, Miami is hitting 37% of their three-point attempts, which is 7th in the NBA. Overall, they are 24th in field goal percentage at 46%.

When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league, averaging just 96.3 possessions per game.

Suns Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Suns defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 37.0% of their games. Currently, they are 15th in the NBA at 114.4 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 53.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.0% of their three-point attempts.

Heat Team Defense

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7th in the league at 111.6 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.5% and 37.4% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Suns And Heat

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Devin Booker as the primary point contributor for the Suns, finishing with 28 points while maintaining a 10/19 shooting accuracy. During this season, he is delivering an average of 28.6 points per game, along with 4.9 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jimmy Butler as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 21 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 48.8%, and his scoring average is 21 points per game.

Suns vs Heat Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 120 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last three home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 97 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 0-4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.

Suns vs Heat Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Suns as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 229.5, and our model projects the Suns and Heat to reach a combined total of 236 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.