Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction 12/7/2024

The Phoenix Suns (12-9) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (10-10) on Saturday, December 7th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on AZFa. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Suns. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Suns vs Heat

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Suns fell to 12-9 on the season after a 126-124 road loss to the Pelicans on Thursday. Phoenix, favored by 1.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 250 exceeded the O/U line of 223.5 by 26.5 points.

Phoenix appeared to take control with an 11-0 run, moving the score from 49-44 to 55-49. They dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring New Orleans 32-20, but the Pelicans responded with a 45-28 3rd quarter. Despite a 31-27 edge in the 4th, the Suns couldn’t complete the comeback.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat evened their season record at 10-10 with a dominant 134-93 win over the Lakers on Wednesday. Playing at home, Miami was favored by 3.5 points and covered the spread with ease. The game’s total score of 227 points exceeded the O/U line of 217.5 by 9.5 points.

Miami took control early with a 14-0 run, turning a 6-6 tie into a 20-6 lead. They outscored the Lakers 35-26 in the 2nd quarter and 36-20 in the 3rd, entering the 4th quarter with a 105-72 lead. Miami closed out the game by outscoring the Lakers 29-21 in the final period.

Suns Offense Breakdown

Devin Booker led the Suns with 28 points in their 126-124 loss to the Pelicans, despite shooting just 30% from the field. Booker hit 3 threes at 30% efficiency and added 15 points in the 1st quarter and 8 more in the 4th. Bradley Beal contributed 24 points, including 5 in the final period.

Royce O’Neale knocked down 5 threes at 62.5%, finishing with 19 points and 7 rebounds. The Suns hit 17 threes as a team, shooting 37.8% from deep and 50.6% overall. O’Neale, Beal, and Tyus Jones each scored 5 points in the 4th quarter.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

Tyler Herro’s 9 threes and 31 points, including 21 in the 3rd quarter, led the Heat to a 134-point performance in their win over the Lakers. Miami connected on 24 threes, shooting 51.1% from deep and 57.8% overall from the field.

Jimmy Butler added 17 points, while Terry Rozier contributed 16. Bam Adebayo and Haywood Highsmith each chipped in 14 points, with Adebayo scoring 7 in the opening quarter.

Suns Team Defense

Defensively, the Suns struggled in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 45 points, respectively, in their 126-124 loss to the Pelicans. They did manage to tighten up in the 2nd quarter, allowing just 20 points, and gave up 27 in the 4th.

Phoenix allowed New Orleans to shoot 49% from the field, including 38% from beyond the arc, with the Pelicans hitting 14 threes. The Suns sent New Orleans to the line 25 times, where they converted 18 free throws. Phoenix recorded 10 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Heat Team Defense

The Suns’ defense had a tough time in the 3rd quarter, giving up 45 points, which contributed to their 126-124 loss to the Pelicans. They did manage to tighten up in the 2nd quarter, allowing just 20 points. Overall, Phoenix allowed New Orleans to shoot 49% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Suns gave up 14 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Pelicans to the free-throw line 25 times, where they made 18. Phoenix recorded 10 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Suns vs Heat Trends

  • Across the Suns last five road games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • Across their three previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 101 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Suns vs Heat Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 145-107. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -6.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219.5, and our model predicts the Suns and Heat to score a combined 252 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.