Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 3/17/2024

The Phoenix Suns (39-28) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (43-24) on Sunday, March 17th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Suns vs Bucks

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Suns took down the Hornets by a score of 107-96. the Suns entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 54-45.

With a 39-28 record, the Suns are coming into today’s game vs. the Bucks above .500. In the Western Conference, the Suns are ranked 6th and are also 2nd in the Pacific division.

Phoenix’s ATS record sits below .500 (26-40). The Suns have two straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 19-29 vs. the spread as the favorite.

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Bucks took down the 76ers by a score of 114-105. Not only did the Bucks win this game straight-up, but they also covered the spread as -7 point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 219 points was below the over/under line of 219.5.

Heading into today’s game vs. the Suns, the Bucks are 43-24 overall. They are 7-3 in their last ten games and currently sit atop the Central Division while holding the 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference.

Milwaukee comes in with an overall ATS record of 29-38 so far this season. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the Bucks are 3-7 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Suns Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Phoenix is averaging 116.8 points per contest. This figure places them 12th in the league.

So far this season, the Suns are 12th in the league in scoring at 116.8 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been slightly better on the road (116.7 PPG) compared to at home (116.9 PPG).

When it comes to pace, the Suns are right in the middle of the pack at 15th in the NBA (98.5 possessions per game).

Phoenix has been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 5th in field goal percentage (49%). However, they are just 21st in three-point shooting at 37%.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Bucks are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 120.4 points per game (4th).

At home, the Bucks are averaging 122.7 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, Milwaukee is 4th in scoring at 120.4 points per game.

In terms of pace, the Bucks are 6th in the league at 100.5 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, Milwaukee is 7th in the NBA at 49%.

As a team, the Bucks are 5th in true shooting percentage and 4th in free throw attempts per game. They are also 4th in the league in assists.

Suns Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Suns defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 44.8% of their games. Currently, they are 16th in the NBA at 114.2 points per game allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Suns defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.3% while allowing 36.2% from downtown.

Bucks Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.1 points per contest. Milwaukee’s defense is currently forcing 12.2 turnovers per game, which is 9th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 16th in blocked shots, with an average of 5 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Suns And Bucks

In today’s game, our projections have Kevin Durant leading the Suns with 28 points on 10/20 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 28.1 points per game, in addition to 6.7 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Giannis Antetokounmpo to be the top scorer for the Bucks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 31, and he is expected to secure 11 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 61.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.8 points per game.

Suns vs Bucks Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Suns vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 119-110. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Bucks at -2.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 226 and our model has the Suns and Bucks finishing with a combined 229 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.