Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 2/4/2024

The Houston Rockets (23-25) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (34-15) on Sunday, February 4th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raptors. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Rockets vs Timberwolves

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The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

In the Rockets’ most recent game against the Raptors, Cam Whitmore led the Rockets with 25 points while going 10/17 from the field. Alperen Sengün also contributed 24 points as the Rockets won by a score of 135-106 vs. the Raptors.

Overall, the Rockets are 23-25 this season and are 2-1 in their last three games. At home, the Rockets are 18-9 compared to 5-16 on the road.

Houston comes in with an overall ATS record of 26-21 so far this season. The Rockets maintain an ATS record of 8-12 on the road, while they have a 18-9 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Timberwolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Rudy Gobert led Minnesota with 22 points against the Magic, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 46.3% in the game. Anthony Edwards added 22 points, but unfortunately, Minnesota was defeated in the game with a score of 108-106.

When the Timberwolves take on the Rockets, they come in with an overall record of 34-15. Looking at their last three games, the Timberwolves are 2-1. At home, the Timberwolves have gone 18-5 compared to their 16-10 record on the road this season.

Minnesota comes in with an overall ATS record of 24-24 so far this season. The Timberwolves are in the midst of a two game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they come in with a 18-20 record against the spread as favorites.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Through 48 games the Rockets are averaging 113.9 points per contest, placing them 21st in the NBA.

Heading into the game, Houston is averaging 113.9 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. However, on the road, they are averaging 111.6 points per game (22nd).

So far this season, the Rockets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.7% of their games. In terms of pace, Houston is 13th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Rockets are 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are connecting on 35% of their attempts (27th).

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Through 49 games the Timberwolves are averaging 113 points per contest, placing them 22nd in the NBA.

The Timberwolves’ offense has been inconsistent this season, as they are 22nd in scoring at 113 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.7 points per game.

Minnesota is 7th in field goal percentage at 49% but is just 28th in offensive rebounds. In terms of pace, they are 25th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA average in 42.9% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, Minnesota is 2nd in three-point shooting percentage but just 25th in three-point attempts.

Rockets Team Defense

For the season, Houston is sitting 9th in terms of points allowed per game (112.3). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. On two point field goal attempts, the Rockets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.9% and allowing 34.1% from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves Team Defense

So far this season, the Timberwolves defense has been performing well, ranking 1st in the NBA at 107.0 points allowed per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 50.8% and allowing 35.3% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Rockets And Timberwolves

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Alperen Sengün will be the primary scorer for the Rockets, with 19 points and going 8/14 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 21.7 points per game, along with 9.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Anthony Edwards is our projected leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We have him ending the game with a team-high 24 and grabbing 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46.5%, and he is contributing 25.5 points per game on average.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Timberwolves offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Minnesota posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Timberwolves vs. Rockets game, we suggest taking the Rockets at +7. Even though our predictions have the Timberwolves winning 116-114, we see the Rockets as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 221 and our model has the Rockets and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 230 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.