Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/27/2024

The Houston Rockets (25-32) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-17) on Tuesday, February 27th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on TNT. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockets. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Rockets vs Thunder

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Thunder, Jabari Smith Jr. was the top scorer for the Rockets’ offense, scoring 20 points and shooting 6/15 from the field. Fred VanVleet contributed 20 points, but Houston lost the game 123-110.

When looking at their overall record of 25-32, the Rockets have gone 2-3 in their last five games. At home, the Rockets are 20-10 compared to their 5-22 record on the road this season.

Houston has an overall ATS record of 29-27 for the season so far. Houston has gone 12-7 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 17-20 when playing as underdogs.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder’s most recent game versus the Rockets saw Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the Thunder with 36 points while shooting 13/23 from the field. The Thunder picked up a 123-110 win, and Chet Holmgren also added 29 points which was 2nd on the team.

As we head into today’s game, the Thunder are looking to add to their five game win streak. Overall, they are 40-17 on the season. When playing on the road, the Thunder are 17-11 compared to their 23-6 record at home.

Oklahoma City currently has an ATS record of 37-20, placing them above .500 against the spread. During this season, Oklahoma City has a 26-15 record against the spread as favorites and 11-5 as underdogs.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Houston has recorded an average of 113.1 points per game (21st) throughout 57 games games.

The Rockets are 21st in the league in scoring at 113.1 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 111.0 points per game (22nd).

So far this season, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 36.8% of their games. They are 27th in field goal percentage (45%) and 26th in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 18th in made threes per game (12.2). Overall, they are 26th in three-point shooting percentage (35%).

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Oklahoma City offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 3rd ranked offense at 121.5 points per game.

At home this season, the Thunder are averaging 124.0 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 121.5 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in field goal percentage at 50%. They are also 1st in true shooting percentage. From beyond the arc, they are 1st in three-point shooting at 39%.

So far this season, Oklahoma City has outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.2% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 11th in the league at 27.3 per game.

Rockets Team Defense

So far, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 12th in the league at 113.1 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Rockets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.0% while allowing 34.6% from downtown.

Thunder Team Defense

So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 13th in the league at 113.3 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 51.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.5% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Rockets And Thunder

In today’s game, our projections have Alperen Sengün leading the Rockets with 20 points on 8/15 shooting from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 21 points per game, along with 9.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the leading scorer for the Thunder. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 31 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 54.8%, and his scoring average is 31.2 points per game.

Rockets vs Thunder Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Houston has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-9 while averaging 110 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Thunder, with a final score of 140-117, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder at -10.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 235, and our model predicts the Rockets and Thunder to score a combined 257 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.