Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/27/2024

The Houston Rockets (36-35) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-21) on Wednesday, March 27th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on BSO. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Rockets vs Thunder

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Rockets notched a win against the Trail Blazers in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 110-92. The Rockets not only won the game but also covered the spread as -14.5-point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 202 points fell short of the set over/under line of 224.5.

Across their last ten games, the Rockets are 9-1 and come into today’s matchup vs. the Thunder with a record of 36-35. In the Western Conference, the Rockets are currently in 11th place and are 3rd in the Southwest division.

In terms of the spread, Houston currently holds an ATS record of 41-29, which is above .500. Houston has covered the spread in seven consecutive home games, while maintaining an ATS record of 27-10 at home as opposed to 14-19 on the road.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Pelicans, Jalen Williams was the top scorer for the Thunder’s offense, scoring 26 points and shooting 9/18 from the field. The Thunder picked up a 119-112 win, and Josh Giddey also added 25 points which was 2nd on the team.

In their last ten games, the Thunder are 8-2 and come into today’s game against the Rockets with a record of 50-21. When facing Western Conference teams, the Thunder are 32-15 and are 18-6 against non-conference opponents.

Oklahoma City is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 42-29. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the Thunder are 11-6 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Through 71 games games, Houston is averaging 114.2 points per game (15th).

When it comes to scoring, the Rockets are 15th in the NBA, averaging 114.2 points per game. However, they have been better at home, where they are 13th in the league at 116.7 points per game. Overall, Houston has outscored the NBA average in 43.7% of their games.

On the road, the Rockets are 21st in scoring at 111.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.2 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Rockets have made 46% of their field goals, which is 26th in the NBA. From beyond the arc, Houston is 23rd in three-point shooting at 35%. In terms of free throw attempts, the Rockets are 7th in the league.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Heading into play, the Thunder’s offense is rated 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 120.3 points per contest.

At home this season, the Thunder are averaging 122.7 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, they are 4th in scoring at 120.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 49%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in three-point percentage at 39%. However, they are just 16th in three-point attempts. Overall, they have made 13.4 threes per game, which is 9th in the NBA.

On average, the Thunder are getting to the free-throw line 21.4 times per game, which is 18th in the league. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 29th in the NBA at 8.8 per game.

Rockets Team Defense

Currently, the Rockets’ defense holds the 10th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.4 points per game. Houston’s defense is currently forcing 12.3 turnovers per game, which is 10th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 23rd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.6 rejections per game.

Thunder Team Defense

Currently, the Thunder’s defense holds the 12th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.6 per game, which is 3rd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.6 per game.

Key Players For The Rockets And Thunder

In today’s game, our projections have Jalen Green leading the Rockets with 20 points on 7/16 shooting from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 19.6 points per game, along with 5 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 30, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 54% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.4 points per game.

Rockets vs Thunder Trends

  • Although Houston has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 112 points per game in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Oklahoma City has averaged 111 points per game while allowing 111. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Rockets have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +6, we recommend going with the Rockets on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 230.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Thunder to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.