Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets NBSA Betting Prediction

NBA Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/5/2025

The Sacramento Kings (32-28) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (39-22) on Wednesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on NBCS. The Kings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Kings vs Nuggets

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings improved to 32-28 on the season after a 122-98 road win over the Mavericks on Monday. Sacramento, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with a dominant +24 point margin. The total score of 220 points fell short of the 231.5-point O/U line.

A key moment came when the Kings went on a 16-0 run, turning a 65-54 deficit into a 70-65 lead. They then outscored Dallas 34-16 in the 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 94-66 lead before the Mavericks won the final quarter 32-28.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Denver dropped to 39-22 on the season after a 110-103 road loss to the Celtics on Sunday. The Nuggets, who were +5.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread, and the game’s total score of 213 points fell well short of the 236.5-point over/under line.

Boston jumped out to an early lead, outscoring Denver 32-20 in the 1st quarter. The Nuggets responded with a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 82-70 to 92-70. However, the Celtics edged Denver 27-26 in the final quarter to seal the win.

Kings Offense Breakdown

The Kings shot 52.2% from the field and knocked down 16 threes at a 47.1% clip in their win over the Mavericks. Zach LaVine led the way with 22 points, hitting 4 threes at 80%, while DeMar DeRozan added 20 points.

Keegan Murray contributed 18 points, also making 4 threes, and Jonas Valančiūnas chipped in 14 points. Malik Monk added 13 points, with 7 of those coming in the 3rd quarter.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

Jamal Murray led the Nuggets with 26 points and 7 assists in their 110-103 loss to the Celtics, shooting 55% from the field. Christian Braun contributed 24 points, while Nikola Jokić added 20 points, 14 rebounds, and 9 assists, hitting 60% of his shots.

Denver’s shooting was below average, hitting 47.7% from the field and 34.3% from three, making 12 threes overall. Murray scored 13 points in the 4th quarter, while Braun added just 3 in the final period.

Kings Team Defense

The Kings’ defense held the Mavericks to just 98 points on Monday, including a standout 3rd quarter where they allowed only 16 points. Sacramento limited Dallas to 7 made three-pointers, with the Mavericks shooting just 26% from beyond the arc.

On the boards, the Kings gave up 7 offensive rebounds while collecting 28 defensive boards. They also contributed 4 steals and 4 blocks in the win.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Kings put together a strong defensive performance on Monday, holding the Mavericks to just 98 points. Sacramento was particularly effective in the 3rd quarter, giving up only 16 points. They also limited Dallas to 7 made threes, with the Mavericks shooting just 26% from beyond the arc.

Sacramento gave up 24 free throw attempts, with Dallas converting 21 of them. The Kings finished with 28 defensive rebounds, allowing 7 offensive boards. They also recorded 4 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Kings vs Nuggets Trends

  • The Kings are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 117 points per game in these contests.
  • Sacramento has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction

The Kings come in as the underdog at +6, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 236.5, and our model predicts the Kings and Nuggets to score a combined 247 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.