Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/1/2025

The Sacramento Kings (30-28) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (37-22) on Saturday, March 1st. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Kings vs Rockets

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings improved to 30-28 this season with a 118-101 win over the Jazz on Wednesday. Sacramento, favored by 9.5 points, covered the spread. The total score of 219 points fell short of the 236.5-point over/under line.

After a 22-22 tie in the 1st quarter, the Kings took control by outscoring the Jazz 33-24 in the 2nd quarter. They extended their lead by winning the 3rd quarter 28-23 and entered the 4th quarter up 83-69. Sacramento finished strong, outscoring Utah 35-32 in the final period.

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

With a 118-106 win over the Spurs on Wednesday, the Rockets improved to 37-22 this season. Houston, playing at home, covered the -7 point spread, winning by 12. The game’s total of 224 points fell just short of the 227.5 O/U line.

Houston’s 10-0 run early on helped them jump out to a 26-7 lead. They continued to build their lead, outscoring the Spurs 34-20 in the 1st quarter and 30-26 in the 2nd. A 37-29 3rd quarter put them up 101-75 going into the 4th, where the Spurs outscored them 31-17.

Kings Offense Breakdown

Keegan Murray led the Kings to a win over the Jazz, scoring 26 points and hitting 5 threes at 50% shooting from deep. Zach LaVine added 22 points, with 13 coming in the 2nd quarter, and DeMar DeRozan chipped in 19 points, including 11 in the 4th.

The Kings shot 52.9% from the field and made 15 threes at a 41.7% rate. Murray hit 5 threes overall, while LaVine connected on 4 at 50% efficiency.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

Amen Thompson’s efficient 80% shooting led the Rockets to a win over the Spurs, as he posted 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists. Jalen Green added 21 points, and Dillon Brooks contributed 19, hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% rate.

Brooks’ shooting was key, as the Rockets hit just 28.9% from deep, making 11 threes. Overall, they shot 47.1% from the field, with Thompson scoring 9 points in the 3rd quarter.

Kings Team Defense

The Kings put together a solid defensive effort against the Jazz, giving up just 101 points in their win on Wednesday. Sacramento held Utah to 22 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 3rd, with the Jazz’s highest-scoring quarter being the 4th, where they managed 32 points.

From beyond the arc, the Jazz shot 36%, making 16 threes. The Kings also limited Utah’s trips to the free-throw line, where they went 9/17. Sacramento controlled the boards, allowing just 7 offensive rebounds, while also tallying 6 steals and 7 blocks.

Rockets Team Defense

The Kings put together a strong defensive effort against the Jazz, allowing just 101 points in their win. Sacramento held Utah to 22 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 3rd, while giving up 32 in the 4th. Overall, the Jazz shot 45% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Kings limited the Jazz to 16 made threes on 36% shooting. Utah also struggled at the free-throw line, going 9/17. Sacramento controlled the boards with 40 defensive rebounds, allowing only 7 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 7 blocks.

Kings vs Rockets Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Kings have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 120 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Rockets offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Houston posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Rockets have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Kings vs Rockets Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +4.5, we have the Kings as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 228.5, and our model projects the Kings and Rockets to reach a combined total of 272 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.