Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat NBA Betting prediction

NBA Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/31/2024

The Sacramento Kings (27-18) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (24-23) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on NBCS. The Kings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Grizzlies. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Kings vs Heat

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings clinched a 103-94 win over the Grizzlies in their previous game. Leading up the game, the Kings had a -11-point advantage on the spread but their 9 point win didn’t cover the spread. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 197 points ended up below the over/under line of 223.5.

As they prepare to face the Heat, the Kings are hoping to add to their above .500 record of 27-18. In their 45 contests, the Kings have gone 18-13 vs. Western Conference foes and 9-5 in non-conference play.

Sacramento currently has an ATS record of 24-21, placing them above .500 against the spread. The Kings currently have a two game ATS win streak as the underdog and are 17-18 vs. the spread as the favorite.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat’s most recent game versus the Suns saw Jimmy Butler lead the Heat with 26 points while shooting 7/12 from the field. Terry Rozier added 21 points, but unfortunately, Miami was defeated in the game with a score of 118-105.

Coming into today’s game against the Kings, the Heat are looking to stay above .500. Their record is 24-23, and they are currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. Additionally, they are leading the Southeast division.

Miami’s ATS record sits below .500 (19-26). Miami has not been good vs. the spread in their last four home games, and they are 8-15 ATS at home compared to 11-11 on the road.

Kings Offense Breakdown

The Sacramento offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 9th ranked offense at 118.4 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Kings are 9th in the NBA with 118.4 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 115.6 points per game.

One area where the Kings are excelling is in three-point shooting. Sacramento is 4th in the league in three-pointers made per game at 15. However, they are just 27th in free throw attempts.

So far this season, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games. They are also 11th in field goal percentage and 5th in assists.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.4 points per game.

At home, the Heat are averaging 113.6 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 27th in the league at 46%. When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 5th in the NBA at 37%.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 21st in the NBA at 25.5 per game.

When it comes to free throw shooting, the Heat are 12th in free throw attempts at 23.3 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Miami is 25th in the league at 9.6 per game. In terms of two-point field goals, the Heat are 28th in the NBA at 51%.

Kings Team Defense

The Kings’ defense is presently ranked 19th in the league, allowing an average of 117.5 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Kings defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.2% while allowing 38.8% from downtown.

Heat Team Defense

Although the Heat’s defense is 7th in the league defensively this season, over their last three games they have allowed 128.7 points per contest, which is 8th in the NBA. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.

Key Players For The Kings And Heat

The outlook for today’s matchup points to De’Aaron Fox as the primary point contributor for the Kings, finishing with 26 points while maintaining a 9/20 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 27.5 points per game along with 4.1 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jimmy Butler to be the top scorer for the Heat. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 49.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.1 points per game.

Kings vs Heat Trends

  • Although Sacramento has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 120 points per game in these games.
  • Although Miami has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-6-1. The team averaged 103 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 3-6-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.

Kings vs Heat Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1, we have the Kings as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229.5 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.