spurs vs rockets nba prediction

NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Prediction 12/11/2023

The San Antonio Spurs (3-18) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (10-9) on Monday, December 11th. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Toyota Center and televised on Spac. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Spurs vs Rockets

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs were defeated by the Bulls in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 121-112. The Spurs were leading the game going into the second half 63-52.

Coming into today’s game, the Spurs are 3-18 overall and will be looking to pull off an upset as +8.5 point underdogs. In Western Conference games, the Spurs are 3-12 compared to 0-6 in non-conference games.

San Antonio currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 8-13 at this point. On the road, the Spurs have an ATS record of 4-6, as opposed to a 4-7 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Rockets defeated the Nuggets with a final score of 114-106. As the second half got underway, the Rockets were leading by a score of 52-48.

With a two game winning streak, the Rockets are looking to continue their momentum as they come into today’s game. In the Western Conference, the team is currently 8th and in the Southwest division, they are 2nd. Overall, their record is 10-9.

Houston has an overall ATS record of 13-5 as they come into today’s game. The Rockets currently have a three game ATS win streak as the favorite and are 10-5 vs. the spread as underdogs.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

Through 21 games games, San Antonio is averaging 110.7 points per game (25th). The Spurs come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 12.9 made 3’s per game. Despite shooting the ball well from outside, San Antonio has not done a good job taking care of the ball. So far, they are averaging 15.9 turnovers per game.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

The Rockets come into today’s game as the 26th ranked scoring offense at 110.3 points per game. So far, the Rockets are averaging 96.8 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Right now, the Rockets offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 17th in effective field goal percentage.

Spurs Team Defense

The Spurs’ defense is presently ranked 28th in the league, allowing an average of 122.8 points per contest.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 15.9 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 7th in blocked shots at 6 per game.

Rockets Team Defense

So far this season, the Rockets defense has been performing well, ranking 2nd in the NBA at 106.8 points allowed per contest.

The Houston defense has allowed opponents to shoot 32.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 44.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Houston.

Key Players For The Spurs And Rockets

In today’s game, our projections have Devin Vassell leading the Spurs with 13 points on 5/10 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 18.1 points per game, in addition to 3.1 rebounds.

On the other side, Alperen Sengün is our projected leading scorer for the Rockets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 18 and grabbing 7 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 54.2%, and he is contributing 20.8 points per game on average.

Spurs vs Rockets Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Spurs have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 103 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their three previous home games, Houston has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Rockets have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Rockets vs. Rockets matchup, we’re leaning towards the Spurs at +8.5. Although our projections show the Rockets winning 107-103, we suggest placing your bet on the Spurs for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 224.5, and our model projects the Spurs and Rockets to reach a combined total of 210 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.