San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/5/2024

The San Antonio Spurs (13-48) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (26-34) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on Spac. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Spurs vs Rockets

san antonio spurs nba

The Spurs Are Coming Off A Win

The Spurs won vs. the Pacers in their most recent game, ending with a score of 117-105. Prior to the game, the Spurs were the underdog at +6.5, earning both a straight-up and ATS victory. In terms of the over/under, the combined 222 points was below the over/under line of 242.

In their quest to beat the Rockets, the Spurs have gone 13-48 overall, which puts them below .500. When playing against Western Conference teams, the Spurs are 8-26, while going 5-22 in non-conference games.

San Antonio has an overall ATS record of 30-31 for the season so far. In their two most recent home games, San Antonio has covered the spread and they are 14-14 ATS at home compared to 16-17 on the road.

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Rockets bested the Suns with a score of 118-109. The Rockets faced the Suns as +8.5 underdogs, achieving both a straight-up and ATS win in the game. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 227 points ended up below the over/under line of 232.5.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Spurs, the Rockets are 26-34 overall this season. When looking at their Western Conference games, the Rockets are 18-18 compared to 8-16 in non-conference play.

Houston has an overall ATS record of 31-28 as they come into today’s game. This season, Houston has a 12-7 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 19-21 when playing as underdogs.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

The Spurs come into today’s game as the 22nd ranked scoring offense at 112.3 points per game.

This season, the Spurs have been one of the NBA’s most efficient offenses, ranking 3rd in pace at 101.3 possessions per game. However, their scoring output has been below the league average in 55.7% of their games.

So far, San Antonio is averaging 112.3 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. On the road, they are scoring 109.9 points per game compared to 115.2 at home.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 29th in the league at 34%. Overall, they are 25th in field goal percentage at 46%.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

Houston has recorded an average of 112.8 points per game (21st) throughout 60 games games.

At home, the Rockets are averaging 115.0 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.8 points per game. When it comes to pace, Houston is 13th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

So far, the Rockets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.7% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 28th in the league at 45%. From beyond the arc, Houston is 20th in three-point shooting at 34%.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets are 6th in free-throw attempts at 23.9 per game. In terms of assists, they are 28th in the NBA at 24.6 per game.

Spurs Team Defense

On defense, the Spurs are ranked 25th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 70.5% of their games. The Spurs defense is coming off a game in which they held the Pacers offense to just 54.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 105 points to Indiana.

Rockets Team Defense

At present, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 11th, allowing 113.0 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Rockets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.6% from downtown.

Key Players For The Spurs And Rockets

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Devin Vassell will be the primary scorer for the Spurs, with 20 points and going 7/16 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 19.2 points per game, along with 3.8 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Alperen Sengün to be the top scorer for the Rockets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 9 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 53.7%, and his scoring average is 20.8 points per game.

Spurs vs Rockets Trends

  • San Antonio has a 0-5 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 121. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Across the Rockets last ten home games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 115. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 1-9 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Rockets have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Rockets vs. Spurs game, we suggest taking the Spurs at +7.5. Even though our predictions have the Rockets winning 108-101, we see the Spurs as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 229, and our model predicts the Spurs and Rockets to score a combined 209 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.