San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat MBA Betting Prediction

NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/19/2025

The San Antonio Spurs (19-21) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (20-20) on Sunday, January 19th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. Both the Spurs and Heat will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

Spurs vs Heat

san antonio spurs nba

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs fell to 19-21 on the season after a 140-112 loss to the Grizzlies on Friday. San Antonio was favored by one point but failed to cover the spread, losing by 28. The combined score of 252 points exceeded the over/under line of 236.5 by 15.5 points.

After a 35-35 second quarter, the Grizzlies took control, outscoring the Spurs 40-22 in the third. An 18-0 run by Memphis stretched the score from 88-86 to 104-88, and they continued to dominate in the fourth, winning the quarter 38-26.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat fell to 20-20 on the season after a 133-113 loss to the Nuggets on Friday. Miami, who were +3 point underdogs, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 246 points went over the pre-game line of 228.5 by 17.5 points.

Miami trailed 30-24 after the 1st quarter and 67-55 at halftime. They matched Denver’s 31 points in the 3rd quarter but couldn’t close the gap, entering the 4th down 98-86. The Nuggets pulled away in the final period, outscoring Miami 35-27.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

Devin Vassell led the Spurs with 21 points and 5 assists in their loss to the Grizzlies, shooting 53.8% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 42.9%. Stephon Castle added 20 points, shooting 63.6%, while Victor Wembanyama contributed 19 points and 12 rebounds, also making 3 threes at 42.9%.

Vassell scored 15 of his 21 points in the 3rd quarter, while Wembanyama added 10 points in the 4th. Castle scored 10 points in the 1st quarter. The Spurs shot 47.6% from the field, making 13 threes at 36.1%.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In their loss to the Nuggets, the Heat shot 49.5% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 27.3% clip. Tyler Herro led Miami with 22 points, adding 7 in both the 1st and 2nd quarters.

Jimmy Butler contributed 18 points, with 10 coming in the 3rd quarter. Nikola Jovic and Bam Adebayo each added 16 points, while Terry Rozier scored 10 of his 13 points in the 4th quarter.

Spurs Team Defense

The Spurs gave up 140 points to the Grizzlies on Friday, struggling defensively in the 3rd and 4th quarters, where they allowed 40 and 38 points, respectively. San Antonio couldn’t contain Memphis, who shot 56% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies hit 19 threes at a 43% clip. The Spurs sent Memphis to the line 15 times, where they made 11 free throws. San Antonio finished with 30 defensive rebounds, 4 steals, and 8 blocks.

Heat Team Defense

The Spurs struggled defensively on Friday, giving up 140 points to the Grizzlies. San Antonio allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter, 35 in the 2nd, and things got worse after halftime, with 40 points allowed in the 3rd and 38 in the 4th.

Memphis shot 56% from the field, including 43% from three-point range, where they made 19 threes. The Spurs sent the Grizzlies to the line 15 times, where they hit 11 free throws. San Antonio finished with 30 defensive rebounds, while allowing 10 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 8 blocks.

Spurs vs Heat Trends

  • San Antonio has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 112 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 108 points per game while allowing an average of 108. Miami posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Heat have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Spurs vs Heat Prediction

The Spurs come in as the underdog at +3, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 219.5 and our model has the Spurs and Heat finishing with a combined 260 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.