Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/12/2025

The Golden State Warriors (27-26) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (28-26) on Wednesday, February 12th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ESPN. The Warriors are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Warriors vs Mavericks

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

The Warriors improved to 27-26 on the season with a 125-111 road win over the Bucks on Monday. Golden State, favored by 7 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 236 points went over the line of 230.

Golden State took control with an 11-0 run, turning a 102-94 deficit into a 105-102 lead. They closed out the game strong, outscoring Milwaukee 36-28 in the 4th quarter.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Dallas fell to 28-26 on the season after a 129-128 loss to the Kings on Monday. The Mavericks were +1.5 point underdogs but covered the spread, losing by just one point. The total score of 257 points went over the pre-game line of 239.5 by 17.5 points.

Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 28-27 to 38-27. However, the Kings responded by outscoring the Mavericks 34-26 in the 2nd quarter. Dallas regained control in the 3rd, leading 93-87 going into the 4th, but Sacramento closed the game strong, outscoring the Mavericks 29-23 in the final quarter.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a win over the Bucks, scoring 38 points and hitting 6 threes at a 37.5% rate. As a team, Golden State struggled from deep, shooting just 28.9% with 13 made threes.

Despite shooting 44.1% overall, the Warriors put up 125 points. Jimmy Butler added 20 points, while Buddy Hield contributed 16. Quinten Post scored 11 of his 13 points in the 4th quarter.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks with 30 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists in their 129-128 loss to the Kings, shooting 44% from the field and hitting 2 of 7 from deep. Spencer Dinwiddie added 20 points, with 12 coming in the 1st quarter, while Klay Thompson contributed 19 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 50% rate.

Dallas connected on 15 threes, shooting 40.5% from beyond the arc and 51.6% overall. Irving scored 11 points in the 4th quarter and added 4 more in overtime, while Olivier-Maxence Prosper added 9 of his 16 points in the 2nd quarter.

Warriors Team Defense

Even with the Bucks shooting 50% from the field, the Warriors held them to 111 points in their win. Golden State gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter, 32 in the 3rd, and 28 in the 4th, but they limited Milwaukee to 24 points in the 2nd quarter.

The Warriors excelled at defending the three, allowing just 10 made threes on 30% shooting. They also recorded 16 steals and 2 blocks. On the boards, they gave up 5 offensive rebounds.

Mavericks Team Defense

Despite giving up 111 points, the Warriors did enough defensively to secure a win over the Bucks. They allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in the 3rd but limited Milwaukee to 24 points in the 2nd quarter. The Bucks shot 50% from the field.

Golden State excelled at defending the three, holding Milwaukee to 10 made threes on 30% shooting. The Warriors grabbed 33 defensive rebounds, allowing just 5 offensive boards, and recorded 16 steals.

Warriors vs Mavericks Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 116 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 3-0.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Warriors vs. Mavericks game, our recommendation is to take the Mavericks at +5. Despite our model showing the Warriors winning 102-100, we like Mavericks as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 233.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 202 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.