State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/13/2024

The Golden State Warriors (34-30) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (37-28) on Wednesday, March 13th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Warriors vs Mavericks

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

The Warriors beat the Spurs in their most recent game, ending with a score of 112-102. Not only did the Warriors win this game straight-up, but they also covered the spread as -5 point favorites. Concerning the over/under, the total of 214 points remained below the established over/under line of 226.5.

As of now, the Warriors are 34-30 overall and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, they are 10th and sit 5th in the Pacific division.

In terms of the spread, Golden State currently holds an ATS record of 35-28, which is above .500. Golden State has failed to cover the spread in two straight home games and are 14-19 ATS at home compared to 21-9 on the road.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Mavericks took down the Bulls by a score of 127-92. The Mavericks not only secured a straight-up victory in this game but also covered the spread as -3.5-point favorites. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 219 points ended up below the over/under line of 232.5.

So far this season, the Mavericks are 37-28 and are 8th in the Western Conference. Within the Southwest division, they are 2nd and are coming into today’s game with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games.

In terms of the spread, Dallas currently holds an ATS record of 35-30, which is above .500. When playing on the road, the Mavericks hold an ATS record of 20-11 in contrast to a 15-19 record against the spread when playing at home.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

The Warriors come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 118.5 points per game (7th).

The Warriors are one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 3rd in three-pointers made per game at 14.9. They are also 7th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Overall, the Warriors are 7th in scoring at 118.5 points per game.

When it comes to scoring on the road, the Warriors are 2nd in the NBA at 119.5 points per game. However, they have been held below their scoring average in their last two games and are 39.1% for the season.

Golden State is also a strong offensive rebounding team, ranking 5th in the league. In terms of pace, the Warriors are 7th at 100.2 possessions per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

The Dallas offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 6th ranked offense at 119.1 points per game.

This season, the Mavericks have been one of the most potent offenses in the NBA, ranking 6th in scoring at 119.1 points per game. At home, they have averaged 120.1 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas is one of the league’s most prolific teams, ranking 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted. Overall, they have hit 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.

On the season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA’s scoring average in 63.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

Warriors Team Defense

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 18th rank in the NBA, allowing 116.8 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.2% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.0% from downtown.

Mavericks Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Mavericks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.8 points per game (23rd). Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 22nd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.7 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Warriors And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Jonathan Kuminga will be the primary scorer for the Warriors, with 17 points and going 6/12 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 16 points per game, along with 4.8 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Luka Doncic to be the top scorer for the Mavericks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 34, and he is expected to secure 9 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 49.5% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 34.6 points per game.

Warriors vs Mavericks Trends

  • Although Golden State has a straight up record of 9-1 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 9-1. The team averaged 118 points per game in these games.
  • Although Dallas has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 119 points per game in these games.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • The Mavericks have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 121-112, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -7.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 237 and our model has the Warriors and Mavericks finishing with a combined 233 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.