Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 4/23/2024

The Phoenix Suns (49-33) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) on Tuesday, April 23rd. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on TNT. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Suns. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Suns vs Timberwolves

phoenix suns nba

Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves picked up a 25-point win in the most recent game of this Suns vs. Timberwolves series. Edwards had a big game, scoring 33 points and knocking down four threes. Minnesota was favored by 2.5 points and they were able to cover the spread. The over/under line for the game was 213.5 points, and the 215 combined points just surpassed that line.

Minnesota’s defense really stepped up in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of this game, as they outscored the Suns 34-23 in the 2nd and 31-21 in the 3rd. Phoenix finished with just 95 points and shot 44% from the field. Kevin Durant had 31 points for the Suns, while Edwards was the game’s leading scorer.

Suns Offense Breakdown

Phoenix comes into the game ranked 10th in the NBA in scoring at 116.2 points per game. They have been slightly better on the road this season, at 116.1 points per game, compared to 115.8 at home. Looking at their overall efficiency, the Suns are 5th in field goal percentage, at 49%, and 4th in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, the Suns are right around the league average.

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are both averaging 27.1 points per game this season. Durant has hit 41.3% of his threes this year, compared to 36.4% for Booker. Over his last five games, Durant is averaging 23.8 points per game, while Booker is at 22.2. Bradley Beal is averaging 23.2 points in his last five games on a shooting percentage of 59.5%.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota is averaging 113 points per game this season, which is 18th in the league. Their scoring average at home is 112.2 points per contest, which is 22nd in the NBA. Looking at their pace, the Timberwolves are 22nd in the league, averaging 97 possessions per game. The team’s three-point shooting percentage of 38% is the 2nd best mark in the NBA.

Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves offense of late, averaging 27.2 points per game over his last five games. He hit 52.2% of his shots from the field in that stretch. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 2.2 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 41.6%. Overall, he is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds.

Suns Team Defense

On the season, the Suns have been a solid defensive team, ranking 15th in points allowed per game at 113.3. They have been especially good at defending the paint, ranking 6th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 53.2%.

Over their last five games, they have been a little worse on defense, giving up 109.2 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot 37.7% from three against them.

For the season, opposing teams have made 13.1 threes per game vs. the Suns, which is 19th in the NBA. However, opponents have only attempted 35.9 threes per game vs. Phoenix, which is also 19th.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the NBA this season, allowing just 106.4 points per game. They have been especially stingy at home, giving up just 103.5 points per contest, which is also tops in the league.

Over their last five games, however, the Timberwolves have slipped a bit, allowing 112.6 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot 41.6% from beyond the arc, which is 29th in the NBA.

This season, opposing teams have scored less than their season average against Minnesota in 73.2% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 72.0% of their games against the Timberwolves.

Key Players For The Suns And Timberwolves

In today’s game, our projections have Kevin Durant leading the Suns with 27 points on 10/19 shooting from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 27.1 points per game, along with 6.6 rebounds.

On the other side, Anthony Edwards is our projected leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 46.1%, and his scoring average is 25.9 points per game.

Suns vs Timberwolves Trends

  • In their last five road games, Phoenix has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 110 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Suns have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Minnesota has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.

Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Suns is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 211.5, and our model projects the Suns and Timberwolves to reach a combined total of 229 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.