Thunder vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4/3/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (52-23) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (59-16) on Wednesday, April 3rd. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ESPN. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hornets. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Thunder vs Celtics

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the 76ers with a final score of 109-105. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Thunder couldn’t cover as +3 point underdogs. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 214 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 219.5.

As the Thunder prepare to face off against the Celtics, they are focused on improving their overall record of 52-23. Looking at their home and road splits, the Thunder are 29-8 at home while going 23-15 on the road this season.

Oklahoma City has an overall ATS record of 43-32 for the season so far. The Thunder maintain an ATS record of 20-18 on the road, while they have a 23-14 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

The Celtics picked up a win over the Hornets in their latest game, finishing with a score of 118-104. As the second half got underway, the Celtics were leading by a score of 59-53.

As they prepare to face the Thunder, the Celtics have a 59-16 record which is above .500. In their 75 games, the Celtics have gone 39-9 against Eastern Conference teams and 20-7 in non-conference games.

Boston has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 38-34 against the spread. This season, Boston has a 36-33 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 2-1 when playing as underdogs.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Thunder’s offense is rated 4th in the league in scoring, averaging 120.2 points per contest.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder have been one of the best teams in the league this season, averaging 120.2 points per game (4th). However, they have been slightly better at home (122.9) than on the road (117.5).

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

One area where the Thunder have excelled is in their three-point shooting. They are currently 1st in the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. Overall, they are 2nd in field goal percentage (49%).

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

Today, the Celtics enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 120.9 points per game (2nd).

At home, the Celtics are averaging 123.3 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 2nd in scoring at 120.9 points per game. Boston is also 2nd in three-point shooting, making an average of 16.6 threes per game.

So far, the Celtics have outscored the NBA average in 74.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 19th in the league at 97.3 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, Boston is 10th in the NBA at 48%.

Overall, the Celtics have the 15th most assists in the league at 26.7 per game. In terms of free throws, they are 24th in attempts and 18th in makes. Finally, Boston is 14th in offensive rebounds.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, Thunder is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 113.0 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 4th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.6 per game.

Celtics Team Defense

Not only do the Celtics’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 5th in the league in points allowed. Boston has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 24th in the league over their last three games at 106.3 PPG allowed. In the terms of takeaways, Celtics are causing 11.3 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 2nd in rejections, averaging 6.5 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Thunder And Celtics

In today’s game, our projections have Chet Holmgren leading the Thunder with 17 points on 6/12 shooting from the field. This season, he is averaging 16.7 points per game along with 7.9 boards.

As for Boston, Jayson Tatum is projected to be the primary scorer for the Celtics. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 27, and adding 8 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 47.4% and is averaging 27.2 points per contest.

Thunder vs Celtics Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Boston has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Thunder vs Celtics Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Thunder vs. Celtics game, our recommendation is to take the Thunder at +9.5. Despite our model showing the Celtics winning 116-115, we like Thunder as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 230.5 and given that our model is projecting 231 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.