Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/29/2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (37-8) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (23-23) on Wednesday, January 29th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Thunder vs Warriors

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

With a 118-108 win over the Trail Blazers on Sunday, the Thunder improved to 37-8 on the season. Oklahoma City was favored by 14 points but didn’t cover the spread, as Portland made things interesting in the 4th quarter. The game’s total points landed right on the O/U line of 226.

After a 27-27 tie in the 1st quarter, the Thunder took control by outscoring Portland 39-26 in the 2nd quarter. They entered the 4th quarter with a 93-78 lead, but the Trail Blazers went on a 10-0 run to cut the score to 93-90. Oklahoma City managed to pull away late to secure the win.

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

The Warriors moved to 23-23 on the season with a 114-103 win over the Jazz on Tuesday. Playing at home, Golden State entered the game as 10.5-point favorites and covered the spread with the 11-point victory. The total points for the game were 217, just under the 219.5-point line.

After a 27-27 tie in the 1st quarter, the Warriors took control by outscoring the Jazz 35-24 in the 2nd quarter. Utah edged Golden State 32-30 in the 3rd, but the Warriors led 92-83 going into the 4th and closed out the game by winning the final period 22-20.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Trail Blazers with 35 points, scoring 12 in the 1st quarter and 11 more in the 3rd. Jalen Williams added 24 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Isaiah Joe contributed 16 points, including 11 in the 2nd period.

The Thunder shot 47.2% from the field and made 10 threes at a 33.3% clip. Joe hit 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep, and Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams each made 2 threes, connecting at 50% from beyond the arc.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

golden state warriors

In their win over the Jazz, the Warriors shot just 39.1% from the field, but connected on 17 threes at a 34.7% rate. Dennis Schröder led the way with 23 points, hitting 5 threes at 38.5%, while Brandin Podziemski added 20 points and 4 made threes.

Andrew Wiggins contributed 19 points, making 3 threes despite shooting 29.4% overall. Moses Moody chipped in 15 points, scoring 6 in the opening quarter.

Thunder Team Defense

The Thunder put together a solid defensive effort on Sunday, holding the Trail Blazers to 108 points. Oklahoma City gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter but improved in the 2nd and 3rd, allowing just 26 and 25 points, respectively. Portland scored 30 in the 4th, but the Thunder still managed to secure the win. Overall, they limited the Blazers to 40% shooting from the field.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three-point line, as the Trail Blazers hit 18 threes at a 45% clip. Portland also went 24/28 from the free-throw line. The Thunder finished with 29 defensive rebounds, allowing 13 offensive boards, while also recording 7 steals and 3 blocks.

Warriors Team Defense

Defensively, the Thunder were solid through three quarters, holding the Trail Blazers to 27 points in the 1st, 26 in the 2nd, and 25 in the 3rd. However, they gave up 30 points in the 4th but still managed to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 108 points on 40% shooting from the field.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three-point line, where Portland hit 18 threes at a 45% clip. The Thunder also sent the Blazers to the free-throw line 28 times, where they made 24. The Thunder finished with 29 defensive rebounds, allowing 13 offensive boards, while also recording 7 steals and 3 blocks.

Thunder vs Warriors Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 0-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
  • Golden State has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 114. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • As the betting underdog, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-4-1.

Thunder vs Warriors Prediction

Our bet is on the Thunder for a win, and we project the score to be 119-93. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Thunder with the spread at -9.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 212 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.