Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 5/26/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Sunday, May 26th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on TNT. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks

minnesota timberwolves nba

Dallas picked up a one-point win over the Timberwolves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, Minnesota was favored by six points, but Dallas covered the spread. The 217 combined points surpassed the over/under line by 9.5 points. The Mavericks outscored the Timberwolves 30-22 in the 4th quarter to come from behind.

Luka Doncic finished with a triple-double, putting up 32 points, 13 assists, and 10 rebounds. He made five threes on 45.5% shooting. Naz Reid led the Timberwolves with 23 points, and he made seven threes on 77.8% shooting. The teams both made 12 threes, and they both shot 38.7% from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota comes into the game as the 3rd best three-point shooting team in the NBA, hitting 38% of their looks from downtown. Overall, they are 9th in field goal percentage, at 48%. For the season, the Timberwolves are averaging 113 points per game but have been slightly better than that on the road, at 113.4 points per contest.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 20.2 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 7 assists and 6.4 rebounds. Jaden McDaniels has hit 58% of his shots from the field in his last five games and is averaging 15.8 points per game in that stretch. Naz Reid is averaging 2.1 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 41.4%. Mike Conley is averaging 2.4 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 44.2% but is questionable with a Soleus injury.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

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Overall, the Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 9th in the NBA. They have been a little better than that at home, with an average of 117.2 points per contest. Dallas is 4th in both three-point attempts and makes this season but are just 14th in three-point shooting percentage, at 36%.

Luka Doncic is averaging 28.6 points, 10.4 assists, and 9.6 rebounds over his last five games. This has come while hitting 46.2% of his shots from the field and 40.4% of his threes. Kyrie Irving has hit 41.7% of his threes in his last five games, but his scoring average in these games is just 18.6 points per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best team in the NBA this season, allowing just 105.8 points per game. This is a unit that has been especially stingy at home, giving up just 103.3 points per game, which is tops in the league.

Minnesota has been able to limit opponents’ scoring by shutting down their two-point attack, as they are allowing just 50.9% shooting from inside the arc, which is the best mark in the NBA. They have also been able to limit three-point shooting, allowing just 35.6% from beyond the arc.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even better on defense, allowing just 97.8 points per game. During this stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, giving up just 30.7% shooting from deep.

Mavericks Team Defense

At home this season, the Mavericks have given up 113.6 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 5th in the league at 104.2 points allowed per contest.

On the season, opposing teams have scored more than their season average 61% of the time vs. Dallas. However, over their last five games, they have held opponents to 7.7 points below their season average.

For the season, the Mavericks are 13th in field goal percentage allowed (47.0%), 8th in two-point shooting percentage allowed (53.8%), and 16th in three-point shooting percentage allowed (36.6%). Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 1st in field goal percentage allowed (42.4%) and 6th in three-point shooting percentage allowed (32.6%).

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Mavericks

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Anthony Edwards is set to be the main scorer for the Timberwolves, recording 26 points and shooting 9/20 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 25.9 points per game, in addition to 5.4 rebounds.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 33 and grabbing 10 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 48.7%, and his scoring average is 33.9 points per game.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Trends

  • Minnesota has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 99. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Although Dallas has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 104 points per game in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
  • Against the spread, the Mavericks have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 207.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Mavericks to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.