Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 5/28/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on TNT. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks

minnesota timberwolves nba

The Mavericks picked up a 116-107 win over the Timberwolves in the most recent game of this series. Dallas was favored by 1.5 points heading into the game, and they covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 208 points, and the teams easily surpassed that with a combined 223 points.

Both Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic had 33 points for the Mavericks, and Irving knocked down three threes while shooting 50% from beyond the arc. As a team, the Mavericks shot 55.9% from the field and made 14 threes. On the other side, the Timberwolves made just nine threes and shot 30% from three-point range. Anthony Edwards had 26 points for Minnesota.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 20th ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per contest. They have been slightly better on the road, at 113.2 points per game compared to 111.3 at home. The Timberwolves are 9th in field goal percentage, at 48%, and 8th in true shooting percentage.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 21.8 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 7 assists and 7.4 rebounds. Jaden McDaniels has hit 63.3% of his shots in his last five games, averaging 17 points per contest. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds for the season but just 15.6 points in his last five games.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

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Dallas comes into the game as the 9th-ranked scoring offense, at 117.9 points per game. They are also 10th in scoring at home this season, putting up 117.2 points per contest. The Mavericks are 4th in both three-point attempts and makes this year but are just 14th in three-point shooting percentage.

Luka Doncic is averaging 31.6 points per game over his last five games while shooting 50% from the field. In these games, he has hit 44.9% of his threes and averaged 4.4 made threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this year and 23.4 points per game in his last five games.

Timberwolves Team Defense

As the Minnesota Timberwolves head into Dallas to take on the Mavericks, they do so as the top-ranked defense in the NBA, allowing just 105.9 points per game. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 108.4 points per game, which is the second-best mark in the league.

Throughout the season, opponents have scored less than their season average 86.6% of the time against the Timberwolves. In terms of three-point shooting, Minnesota has done a good job of limiting their opponents, as they have held teams to just 35.8% shooting from beyond the arc, which is the third-best mark in the NBA.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even better on the defensive end, giving up just 98.6 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have made just 31.3% of their three-point attempts.

Mavericks Team Defense

As the Mavericks get set to take on the Timberwolves, they will look to keep up their defensive play as of late. Over their last five games, Dallas has given up just 105.6 points per game, which is 6th best in the league over that stretch.

On the season, the Mavericks have given up 113.8 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Opponents have shot 47.1% from the field against Dallas, which is 13th in the league.

One area where the Mavericks have been solid this season is in terms of blocked shots, as they are 12th in the NBA with 5 per game. In terms of steals, Dallas is 25th in the league at 6.9 per game.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Anthony Edwards will be the primary scorer for the Timberwolves, with 26 points and going 9/20 from the field. This season, he is averaging 25.9 points per game along with 5.4 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Luka Doncic as the leading scorer for the Mavericks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 33 while also collecting 10 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 48.7%, and he is contributing 33.9 points per game on average.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 108 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 210.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Mavericks to score a combined 223 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.