The Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (42-23) on Wednesday, March 12th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets
The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win
The Timberwolves improved to 37-29 on the season with a 141-124 win over the Spurs on Sunday. Playing at home, Minnesota entered the game as -11 point favorites and covered the spread. The total points of 265 exceeded the O/U line of 232.5 by 32.5 points.
Minnesota took control early, leading 37-29 after the 1st quarter. The teams played evenly in the 2nd quarter, each scoring 31 points. The Timberwolves pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Spurs 41-34, and maintained their lead in the 4th, winning the quarter 32-30.
The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win
Denver improved to 42-23 with a 140-127 road win over the Thunder on Monday. The Nuggets, who were +9.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total of 267 points went over the pre-game line of 240.5 by 26.5 points.
After trailing 73-67 at halftime, Denver turned the game around by outscoring the Thunder 34-26 in the 3rd quarter. A key 13-0 run in the 4th quarter helped the Nuggets pull away, as they outscored Oklahoma City 39-28 in the final period.
Timberwolves Offense Breakdown
The Timberwolves put up 141 points in their win over the Spurs, shooting 55.8% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 50% clip. Anthony Edwards led the way with 25 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter.
Naz Reid added 20 points, with 11 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Donte DiVincenzo scored 10 of his 17 points in the 4th. Rudy Gobert also had a strong finish, scoring 8 of his 16 points in the final period.
Nuggets Offense Breakdown
The Nuggets put up 140 points in their win over the Thunder, shooting 60.5% from the field and hitting 18 threes at a 56.2% clip. Nikola Jokić led the way with 35 points, 18 rebounds, and 8 assists, shooting 75% from the floor.
Jamal Murray added 34 points, scoring 11 in the 3rd quarter. Michael Porter Jr. contributed 17 points, knocking down 3 threes at 50% shooting.
Timberwolves Team Defense
Even with a tough defensive outing, the Timberwolves managed to secure a win over the Spurs, giving up 124 points on 55% shooting. Minnesota allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter, 31 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 30 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Timberwolves held the Spurs to 11 threes on 36% shooting. San Antonio went 19/24 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Minnesota recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks.
Nuggets Team Defense
Even though the Timberwolves gave up 124 points to the Spurs on Sunday, they still managed to secure the win. Minnesota allowed 29 points in the 1st quarter, 31 in the 2nd, 34 in the 3rd, and 30 in the 4th. San Antonio shot 55% from the field.
The Timberwolves did a good job defending the three, with the Spurs hitting 11 threes at a 36% rate. Minnesota sent San Antonio to the line 24 times, where they made 19 free throws. The Timberwolves finished with 7 steals and 4 blocks.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 117 points per game in this stretch.
- Across their ten previous home games, Denver has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 119 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction
Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 235.5 and given that our model is projecting 254 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 12, 2025 Minnesota Timberwolves, Nuggets