Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/29/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (51-22) on Friday, March 29th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets

minnesota timberwolves nba

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves took down the Pistons in their most recent game with a final score of 106-91. The game began with the Timberwolves as -16.5-point favorites, but their 15 resulted in an ATS loss. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 197 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 217.

Heading into today’s game, the Timberwolves have a 50-22 overall record and are looking to extend their three game winning streak. When playing on the road, the Timberwolves are 24-13 compared to their 26-9 record at home.

Minnesota comes in with an overall ATS record of 37-34 so far this season. Minnesota has gone 27-28 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 10-6 when playing as underdogs.

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Nuggets’ most recent game versus the Suns saw Nikola Jokic lead the Nuggets with 22 points while shooting 9/16 from the field. While Aaron Gordon was 2nd on the team with 18 points, Denver fell short in the game with a final score of 104-97.

As they take on the Timberwolves, the Nuggets are looking to build on their above .500 record of 51-22. Currently, the team is in 1st place in both the Western Conference and the Northwest division.

Denver currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 33-38 at this point. This season, Denver has a 28-33 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 5-5 when playing as underdogs.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota has recorded an average of 113.1 points per game (18th) throughout 72 games games.

As a team, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in scoring at 113.1 points per game. Interestingly, they have been better on the road this season, averaging 114.6 points compared to 111.4 at home.

Minnesota is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making 12.7 threes per game. They are shooting 38% from beyond the arc, which leads the NBA.

When it comes to pace, the Timberwolves are 21st in the league at 97 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 10th at 48%.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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This season, the Denver offense is ranked 14th in the NBA in scoring at 114.6 points per game.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.4 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the league at 49%. However, they are 28th in pace with just 96 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 28th in makes (11.4) and 30th in attempts (30.9) per game. Their three-point shooting percentage is 37%, which is 11th in the NBA. Inside the arc, Denver is 2nd in two-point makes but just 9th in two-point shooting percentage (56%).

So far this season, the Nuggets have scored below the NBA average in 52.1% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, Denver is 29th in both attempts (20) and makes (15.3) per game. They are also 11th in offensive rebounds and 3rd in assists.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 106.3 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 50.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.2% of their three-point attempts.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 109.9 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.5% and 35.7% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Anthony Edwards is set to be the main scorer for the Timberwolves, recording 26 points and shooting 9/20 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 26.2 points per game, along with 5.5 rebounds.

As for Denver, Nikola Jokic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Nuggets. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 12 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 58.1%, and he is contributing 26.1 points per game on average.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 117 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Minnesota has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +6.5, we recommend going with the Timberwolves on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 211.5 and our model has the Timberwolves and Nuggets finishing with a combined 220 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.