Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 4/10/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (55-24) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (55-24) on Wednesday, April 10th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets

minnesota timberwolves nba

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Timberwolves bested the Wizards with a score of 130-121. The game began with the Timberwolves as -18.5-point favorites, but their 9 resulted in an ATS loss. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 224 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

In their last ten games, the Timberwolves are 8-2 and have an overall record of 55-24. When facing Western Conference teams, the Timberwolves are 37-13 and are 18-11 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, Minnesota are currently above .500, at 40-38 ATS. During this season, Minnesota has a 29-31 record against the spread as favorites and 11-7 as underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets took down the Jazz in their most recent game with a final score of 111-95. The Nuggets not only won the game but also covered the spread as -15.5-point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 206 points was below the over/under line of 223.5.

With a current record of 55-24, the Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest division. They come into today’s game on a two game winning streak.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 36-41 for the season so far. On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 16-22, as opposed to a 20-19 record against the spread when playing at home.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota has recorded an average of 113.2 points per game (18th) throughout 79 games games.

Minnesota’s offense has been one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the league this season, ranking first in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. However, they are just 15th in three-pointers made per game (12.7) and 23rd in three-point attempts (32.8).

Overall, the Timberwolves are 18th in scoring at 113.2 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 114.2 points compared to 112.2 at home. In terms of field goal percentage, Minnesota is 10th in the league at 48%.

So far, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43% of their games this season. They have also outscored their own scoring average in their last two games.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Denver has recorded an average of 114.6 points per game (14th) throughout 79 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.6 points per game this season, which is 14th in the NBA. However, their scoring numbers are even better at home, where they are averaging 118.6 points per game (10th).

Denver’s offense has been one of the most efficient in the league this season, as they are shooting 49% from the field (4th). In terms of two-point shooting, the Nuggets are 8th in the league at 56%.

Despite being one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA, the Nuggets are last in three-point attempts (30th). Overall, they are making 11.7 threes per game (25th) and are shooting 37% from deep (10th).

Timberwolves Team Defense

At present, the Timberwolves’ defense is ranked 1st, allowing 106.2 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Timberwolves squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 50.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.3% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

This season, the Nuggets defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.5 points per contest. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 95 points to the Jazz.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Nuggets

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Anthony Edwards will be the primary scorer for the Timberwolves, with 26 points and going 9/20 from the field. This season, he is averaging 26.3 points per game along with 5.5 boards.

As for Denver, Nikola Jokic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Nuggets. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 27, and adding 13 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 57.8%, and he is contributing 26.4 points per game on average.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +6, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 212.5 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.