Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 5/14/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (57-25) on Tuesday, May 14th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets

minnesota timberwolves nba

Despite being 3.5-point underdogs, the Nuggets picked up an 8-point win over the Timberwolves in the most recent game of this series. The over/under line for the game was 205 points, and the teams combined to score 222 points. The Nuggets got off to a strong start, outscoring the Timberwolves 29-24 in the first quarter and 35-25 in the 2nd.

Nikola Jokic had a big game for the Nuggets, finishing with 35 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists. Jokic was 57.7% from the field and also knocked down 2 threes. On the other side, Anthony Edwards was the game’s leading scorer with 44 points. He hit 5 threes and shot 62.5% from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 18th ranked scoring offense, averaging 113 points per game. They have been slightly better on the road, at 114.1 points per game, compared to 111.4 at home. The Timberwolves are near the top of the league in three-point shooting, at 38%, and are 8th in field goal percentage, at 48%.

Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves offense of late, averaging 34.6 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 59.6% of his shots from the field. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 58.3% of his threes in his last five games, averaging 20.4 points per game in that stretch. Rudy Gobert is averaging 12.9 rebounds and 14 points for the season but has yet to make a three this year.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

This season, the Nuggets are averaging 114.9 points per game, which is 15th in the NBA. But at home, they are 11th in the league at 116.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage, the Nuggets are 4th in the league, but they are 29th in both free throw attempts and makes. Denver is also 29th in three-point attempts but are 11th in three-point percentage.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.4 points per game over his last five games to go along with 8.4 assists and 13 rebounds. His season three-point shooting percentage is 35.9%. Jamal Murray is questionable for the game and has averaged 20 points and 5.2 assists in his last five games. Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 2.8 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 50%.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the NBA this season, allowing just 106.2 points per game. They are also 1st in the league in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 50.8%. This is a team that has been able to protect the rim, ranking 7th in blocked shots at 6.1 per contest.

Minnesota has been even better on the road, giving up just 108.6 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA. In terms of three-point defense, they are 4th in the league at 35.9%. Opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 76.8% of games vs. the Timberwolves.

Over their last five games, Minnesota has given up 105.4 points per game. During this stretch, their three-point defense has struggled, ranking 28th in the NBA at 40.7%. In terms of fouls, the Timberwolves are 11th in the league.

Nuggets Team Defense

When playing at home this season, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 5th in points allowed per game at 108.2. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 103 points per game, which is 4th best in the league during that stretch.

One area where the Nuggets defense has excelled this season is in their ability to defend the three-point line. On the year, they are 2nd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.2% and have done a good job of limiting the number of attempts from beyond the arc.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 81.7% of their games vs. the Nuggets. Additionally, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 78% of their games vs. Denver.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Anthony Edwards is set to be the main scorer for the Timberwolves, recording 27 points and shooting 9/20 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 25.9 points per game, along with 5.4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Nikola Jokic to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 27, and he is expected to secure 13 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 58.3% and is averaging 26.4 points per contest.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction

The Timberwolves come in as the underdog at +4, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 205.5 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.