Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 5/6/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (57-25) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets

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The Timberwolves picked up a 106-99 win over the Nuggets in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the 4th quarter, the Timberwolves were up 73-71. The Timberwolves also covered the spread in this game, as they were 4.5-point underdogs. The game fell 4.5 points short of the over/under line of 209.5 points.

Anthony Edwards had a big game for the Timberwolves, as he finished with 43 points. Karl-Anthony Towns added 20 points for the Timberwolves. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 52.4% from the field and hit 11 threes. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 32 points, followed by Michael Porter Jr. with 20.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota comes into the game as the league’s 18th ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per game. They have been slightly better on the road, at 114.2 points per contest. The Timberwolves are a top-10 team in field goal percentage and true shooting percentage this season.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.4 points per game over his last five games while hitting 53.2% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 7.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 52.4% of his threes in his last five games and 2.2 threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Denver comes into the game as one of the league’s best shooting teams, with a field goal percentage of 49%. This is the 4th best mark in the NBA. However, they are near the bottom of the league in both free throw attempts and makes. Overall, the Nuggets are averaging 114.9 points per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they are 11th in the league at 117.4 points per contest.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 28.2 points, 15.4 rebounds, and 10.2 assists in his last five games. Michael Porter Jr. has a field goal percentage of 54.1% in his last five games and 51.2% from beyond the arc. For the stretch, he is averaging 23 points and eight rebounds. Jamal Murray is averaging 22.6 points and six assists in his last five games but has a field goal percentage of 40.9%.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season, allowing just 106.3 points per game. This number has been even better on the road, where they have given up just 109.2 points per contest.

One of the keys to their success has been their ability to defend the three-point line, as they are fourth in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.7%. Over their last five games, however, they have struggled in this area, giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 37.6%.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 78.0% of games vs. the Timberwolves this season. In terms of rebounds, Minnesota is 14th in the league at 43.6 per game and is 7th in blocked shots at 6.1 per contest.

Nuggets Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Nuggets have been one of the best in the league, ranking 6th in points allowed per game at 109.4. At home, they have been even better, allowing just 108.3 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA.

So far this season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 78.0% of games vs. Denver. From three-point range, the Nuggets have been especially stingy, ranking 2nd in both three-pointers made and three-point percentage allowed.

Over their last five games, the Nuggets have been solid defensively, allowing 107 points per game. During that stretch, they have also been one of the best at defending the free-throw line, giving up just 12.8 made free throws per game.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Nuggets

In today’s game, our projections have Anthony Edwards leading the Timberwolves with 26 points on 9/20 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 25.9 points per game, along with 5.4 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Nikola Jokic as the leading scorer for the Nuggets. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 27 while also collecting 13 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 58.3% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.4 points per game.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last five home games, Denver has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 110. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction

The Timberwolves come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 205.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.