Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 4/28/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) travel to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-33) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Footprint Center in Phoenix and televised on TNT. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Suns. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Timberwolves vs Suns

minnesota timberwolves nba

Despite being 5.5-point underdogs, the Timberwolves easily covered the spread in their 126-109 win over the Suns. Minnesota was up 95-73 heading into the 4th quarter and held the Suns to just 20 points in the 3rd. The game also surpassed the over/under line of 209 points by 26 points.

Anthony Edwards had a big game for the Timberwolves, finishing with 36 points, nine rebounds, and five assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 49.4% from the field and knocked down 13 threes. Rudy Gobert also had a big game for the Timberwolves, with 19 points and 14 rebounds. Bradley Beal led the Suns with 28 points, and Kevin Durant added 25.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 18th ranked scoring offense, averaging 113 points per game. They have been a little better on the road, at 114.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage, the Timberwolves are 9th in the league, at 48%.

Anthony Edwards has averaged 22.2 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 46.2%. In these games, he averaged 5.4 assists and 6.6 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 41.6% of his threes this season and is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds. Rudy Gobert has averaged 12.9 rebounds per game this season and has shot 80.5% from the field in his last five games.

Suns Offense Breakdown

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Phoenix comes into the game as the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 116.2 points per game. Their home scoring average of 115.7 points per contest is 13th in the league. The Suns are 16th in pace, averaging 98 possessions per game. One reason for their success on offense is their field goal percentage of 49%, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are both averaging 27.1 points per game this season. Durant is averaging 6.6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Booker is averaging 6.9 assists and 4.5 rebounds. Bradley Beal has averaged 22.6 points per game over his last five games while hitting 59.3% of his threes in that stretch. Grayson Allen is questionable for the Suns, but if he plays, he will look to add to his season average of 13.5 points per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season, allowing just 106.3 points per game. They have also been stingy from beyond the arc, giving up just 11.4 made threes per game.

Despite playing on the road, the Timberwolves have been just as good defensively, allowing 109.3 points per game away from home. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Minnesota is also the best in the NBA, holding opponents to just 45.1% shooting.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have given up 105.6 points per game, which is ninth in the league during that span. During this stretch, opponents have shot 38.6% from three-point range.

Suns Team Defense

So far this season, the Suns defense has been middle of the pack, allowing 113.3 points per game, which is 15th in the NBA. At home, they have been slightly better, giving up 113.1 points per game.

One thing that has been consistent for the Suns defense is their ability to protect the rim. They are currently 6th in the NBA in blocked shots at 6 per game.

When looking at their three-point defense, Phoenix is 19th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game allowed at 13.0. So far this season, opponents have made 36.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Suns

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Anthony Edwards as the primary point contributor for the Timberwolves, finishing with 26 points while maintaining a 9/20 shooting accuracy. During this season, he is delivering an average of 25.9 points per game, along with 5.4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Kevin Durant to be the top scorer for the Suns. Our projection has him finishing the game with 27, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 52.3% and is averaging 27.1 points per contest.

Timberwolves vs Suns Trends

  • In their last three road games, Minnesota has averaged 120 points per game while allowing 114. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Although Phoenix has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 104 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction

The Timberwolves is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 114-111. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Timberwolves at -2.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 210.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Suns to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.