Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/11/2024

The Toronto Raptors (23-41) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (44-20) on Monday, March 11th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Raptors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jazz. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Raptors vs Nuggets

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The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Immanuel Quickley led Toronto with 29 points against the Trail Blazers, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 47.3% in the game. Gary Trent Jr. put up 23 points which was 2nd on the team, but it wasn’t enough as Toronto ended up losing the game with a final score of 128-118.

Throughout the season, the Raptors are 23-41 and are hoping to reach .500 with a win over the Nuggets. In their 64 games, the Raptors have gone 16-23 against Eastern Conference opponents and have gone 7-18 in non-conference games.

Toronto comes in with an overall ATS record of 30-34 so far this season. Toronto has not been good vs. the spread in their last four home games, and they are 13-19 ATS at home compared to 17-15 on the road.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets notched a win against the Jazz in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 142-121. In addition to their straight-up win, the Nuggets also covered the spread as -13-point favorites. Before the game, the over/under line was 227 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

In their last ten games, the Nuggets have gone 8-2 and have an overall record of 44-20 as they get ready to take on the Raptors. When playing away from home, the Nuggets are 18-14 this season while going 26-6 at home.

Denver comes in with an overall ATS record of 29-33 so far this season. On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 13-18 compared to a 16-15 record vs. the spread at home.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

This season, the Toronto offense is ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 114.2 points per game.

So far this season, the Raptors are averaging 114.2 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. However, they have been better on the road, where they are averaging 117.2 points per game compared to 111.2 at home.

In terms of pace, Toronto is 13th in the league with an average of 99.4 possessions per game. They are also 3rd in assists, averaging 29.2 per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Raptors are 15th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 5th in two-point field goals made, but just 22nd in three-point shooting percentage.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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The Nuggets come into today’s game as the 15th ranked scoring offense at 114.9 points per game.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 114.9 points per game. So far, they have outscored the league average in 48.4% of their games.

Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the league when it comes to two-point shooting. They are 2nd in two-point field goals made per game and 8th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%. However, they are just 27th in three-pointers made per game and 14th in three-point shooting percentage.

So far this season, the Nuggets have been one of the better teams in terms of assists, ranking 4th in the NBA. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.

Raptors Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Raptors’ defense is giving up an average of 118.2 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 62.5% of their games. Inside the arc, the Raptors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.9% and 37.4% from three-point territory.

Nuggets Team Defense

At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 7th in the NBA, permitting 110.5 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.6 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Raptors And Nuggets

The outlook for today’s matchup points to RJ Barrett as the primary point contributor for the Raptors, finishing with 19 points while maintaining a 7/15 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 19.4 points per game along with 5.2 boards.

As for Denver, Nikola Jokic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Nuggets. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 58.3% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26 points per game.

Raptors vs Nuggets Trends

  • Toronto has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 121 points per game while allowing 121. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The Nuggets are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Raptors have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • The Nuggets have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +13.5, the Raptors is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.